Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 25

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: GIEKSA Arena (Bełchatów)


	GKS Bełchatów		Mławianka Mława

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.55	2.48
	2.34	3.49	2.52
	2.3	4.04	2.44	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.45
	2.37	3.7	2.58	Watch
	2.17	3.47	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.17)	3.63 ↑ (3.47)	2.52 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Bełchatów
39.2%

Draw
24.9%

Mławianka Mława
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

25.5%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

23.9%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Bełchatów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Mławianka Mława has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

GKS Bełchatów - Mławianka Mława Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', Bartosinski J. 🟥,
72', 0 - 1, Orzel A. ⚽,
84', 🟥,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bełchatów could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bełchatów won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 2.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bełchatów won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Mlawa	11	3	1	7	22:32	-10	10

Last Results with these Odds

GKS Bełchatów - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 40.81%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.03.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - GKS Bełchatów	1:4 ✺
21.03.26	GKS Bełchatów - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	GKS Bełchatów - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Legia II - GKS Bełchatów	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	GKS Bełchatów - Troszyn	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWLL
- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.03.26	Mławianka Mława - Wasilków	4:2 ✺
21.03.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Mławianka Mława - Troszyn	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Wisła Płock II - Mławianka Mława	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Mławianka Mława - Warta Sieradz	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.09.25	Mławianka Mława - GKS Bełchatów	2:3
23.11.24	GKS Bełchatów - Mławianka Mława	6:2
03.08.24	Mławianka Mława - GKS Bełchatów	0:0
16.03.24	GKS Bełchatów - Mławianka Mława	0:2
23.08.23	Mławianka Mława - GKS Bełchatów	3:4

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