Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Mławianka Mława		Troszyn

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.60	2.85
	2.02	3.45	2.9
	2.04	3.59	2.91
	2.07	3.7	2.95	Watch
	2.01	3.55	2.85
	2.04	3.54	2.97	Watch
	2.3	3.41	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.3)	3.55 ↑ (3.41)	2.85 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mławianka Mława
43.3%

Draw
25.2%

Troszyn
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

26%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

26.1%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mławianka Mława has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Troszyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troszyn than the current prediction. (+4%)

Mławianka Mława - Troszyn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 15th).

Mławianka is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Troszyn has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Mławianka has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 2:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mławianka against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Mlawa	11	3	1	7	22:32	-10	10
17	Troszyn	10	1	4	5	12:24	-12	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.09.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	7:4 ✺
06.09.26	Mławianka Mława - ŁKS Łódź II	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Wisła Płock II - Mławianka Mława	5:3 ✺
22.08.26	ŁKS Łomża - Mławianka Mława	0:0 ✺
19.08.26	Mławianka Mława - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLTL
- KS CK Troszyn
Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.09.26	Troszyn - ŁKS Łomża	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Troszyn	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Troszyn - Weszło	3:3 ✺
23.08.26	Pelikan Łowicz - Troszyn	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Troszyn - Warta Sieradz	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
14.03.26	Mławianka Mława - Troszyn	2:2
27.08.25	Troszyn - Mławianka Mława	2:2

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