Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion miejski w Katowicach (Katowice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:30	Arena Sport 6
Canada	11:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	17:30	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Poland	17:30	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	11:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports 5, beIN Sports US Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA, Tubi TV


	GKS Katowice		Pogoń Szczecin

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.40	3.25	Watch
	2.00	3.60	3.30
	2.02	3.70	3.30
	2.12	3.68	3.46
	2.07	3.61	3.48	Watch
	2.09	3.50	3.40
	2.12	3.52	3.37	Watch
	2.10	3.50	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.14)	3.56 ↑ (3.15)	3.34 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Katowice
45.4%

Draw
26.4%

Pogoń Szczecin
28.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.1%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.1%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

GKS Katowice - Pogoń Szczecin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Pogoń Szczecin (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Kobylak G. (G) 30. Czerwinski A. 6. Klemenz L. 55. Resta P. 23. Wasielewski M. 77. Kowalczyk M. 19. Lukasiak K. 8. Galan B. 10. Wedrychowski M. 17. Shkurin I. 27. Nowak B. (C)	77. Cojocaru V. (G) 4. Riccio A. 13. Keramitsis D. 41. Szalai At. 23. Mendy B. 21. Churlinov D. 16. Dziczek P. (C) 6. Bieganski J. 18. Mukairu P. 22. Sanchez J. 35. Wojciechowski M.
Substitutes
31. Bartlewicz S. 4. Jedrych A. 97. Jirka E. 1. Kikolski M. (G) 22. Milewski S. 14. Olsen M. 26. Rasak D. 7. Wdowiak M. 68. Wolski B. 99. Zrelak A.	3. Acosta K. 31. Botis N. (G) 10. Cuic F. 30. Czaplinski J. 98. Dabrowski K. (G) 20. Eichie I. 11. Grosicki K. 47. Lawa N. 9. Molnar R. 17. Nsame J. 75. Ossowski A. 29. Willen L.
Coaches
Gorak R.	Garcia O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Sanchez J. ⚽, Szalai At. (A),
65', Klemenz L. 🟨,
68', Kowalczyk M. ↓, Wolski B. ↑,
72', Churlinov D. ↓, Grosicki K. ↑,
73', Wasielewski M. ↓, Jirka E. ↑,
73', Wedrychowski M. ↓, Wdowiak M. ↑,
82', Wojciechowski M. ↓, Willen L. ↑,
82', Bieganski J. ↓, Acosta K. ↑,
83', Riccio A. ↓, Eichie I. ↑,
84', Czerwinski A. ↓, Zrelak A. ↑,
87', Sanchez J. ↓, Lawa N. ↑,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 5th and 4th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 2.

In recent outings, GKS Katowice has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Pogoń Szczecin shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

GKS Katowice may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Pogoń Szczecin has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

GKS Katowice is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for GKS Katowice: Bosch J. (Inactive) Straczek R. (Surgery).

Confirmed absences for Pogoń Szczecin: Ali H. (Inactive) Juwara M. (Inactive) Pozo J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Wahlqvist L. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for GKS Katowice: Blad A. (Heart Problems).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, GKS Katowice has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:8 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for GKS Katowice against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:2 goals (averaging 2.3:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Pogon Szczecin	11	7	3	1	19:9	10	24
8	GKS Katowice	12	6	0	6	22:17	5	18

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Pogon Szczecin: 10.02% GKS Katowice: 1.96%

Last Results with these Odds

GKS Katowice - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 41.37%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Pogoń Szczecin - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 30.53%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa
12.10.26	GKS Katowice - Wieczysta Kraków	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Raków Częstochowa - GKS Katowice	1:4 ✺
19.09.26	GKS Katowice - Cracovia	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Zagłębie Lubin - GKS Katowice	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Piast Gliwice - GKS Katowice	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLL
- Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.10.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Korona Kielce	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.09.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Udinese	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.09.26	Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Wieczysta Kraków	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
23.05.26	Pogoń Szczecin - GKS Katowice	1:1
29.11.25	GKS Katowice - Pogoń Szczecin	2:0
Club Friendly
25.06.25	Pogoń Szczecin - GKS Katowice	1:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.04.25	Pogoń Szczecin - GKS Katowice	4:0
27.09.24	GKS Katowice - Pogoń Szczecin	3:1
Polish Cup
26.09.18	GKS Katowice - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1 penalties

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