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Current Win Probability
GKS Katowice 33.9%
Draw 26.4%
Pogoń Szczecin 39.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
29.3%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
28.7%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
46.7%
13.3%
40%
GKS Katowice - Pogoń Szczecin Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. GKS Katowice will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for GKS Katowice: 17% – 68.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Pogoń Szczecin (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Pogoń Szczecin (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pogoń Szczecin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Straczek R. (G) 2. Kuusk M. 4. Jedrych A. (C) 6. Klemenz L. 30. Czerwinski A. 5. Bosch J. 77. Kowalczyk M. 8. Galan B. 15. Markovic E. 99. Zrelak A. 27. Nowak B.
77. Cojocaru V. (G) 28. Wahlqvist L. 13. Keramitsis D. 2. Huja M. 23. Mendy B. 8. Ulvestad F. 6. Bieganski J. 10. Przyborek A. 90. Greenwood S. 9. Molnar R. 11. Grosicki K. (C)
Substitutes
28. Brod A. 21. Kokosinski J. 1. Kudla D. (G) 19. Lukasiak K. 14. Lukowski J. 22. Milewski S. 20. Rejczyk F. 16. Rogala G. 80. Shkurin I. 18. Swatowski M. 10. Wedrychowski M.
15. Ali H. 7. Juwara M. 31. Kaminski K. (G) 32. Koutris L. 18. Mukairu P. 20. Paryzek P. 14. Pozo J. 61. Smolinski K. 35. Wojciechowski M.
Coaches
Gorak R.
Thomasberg T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Zrelak A. ⚽, Galan B. (A),
12', Kuusk M. ↓, Rogala G. ↑,
37', 2 - 0, Nowak B. ⚽, Zrelak A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Molnar R. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
46', Greenwood S. ↓, Juwara M. ↑,
46', Kowalczyk M. ↓, Lukasiak K. ↑,
64', Mendy B. ↓, Koutris L. ↑,
65', Markovic E. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
65', Zrelak A. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
70', Grosicki K. ↓, Paryzek P. ↑,
75', Bieganski J. ↓, Pozo J. ↑,
88', Czerwinski A. ↓, Brod A. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11).
GKS Katowice is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Pogoń Szczecin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Pogoń Szczecin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in GKS Katowice: Marzec M.
(Inactive)
Paluszek A.
(Knee Injury)
Wasielewski M.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges
(Foot Injury)
Loncar D.
(Yellow Cards)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, GKS Katowice won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).