Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 8

Date: 15 September 2023, Friday

Location: Stadion GKS Katowice (Katowice)

Referee: Lewandowski L. (Pol)


	GKS Katowice		Zagłębie Sosnowiec

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	4.2
	1.75	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.76	3.91	4.48
	1.73	3.4	4.2
	1.72	3.8	4.33
	1.77	3.6	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.9)	3.7 ↑ (3.44)	4.31 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Katowice
53.4%

Draw
25.1%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26.7%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

25.5%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

GKS Katowice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions

Users Predictions: GKS Katowice will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kudla D. (G) 23. Wasielewski M. 4. Jedrych A. (C) 5. Repka O. 14. Komor A. 31. Shibata S. 6. Kozubal A. 16. Rogala G. 11. Blad A. 7. Bergier S. 17. Marzec M.	33. Kos M. (G) 27. Jonczy D. 2. Bykov O. 55. Karwot M. 77. Wrzesinski K. 18. Guezen D. 29. Rozwandowicz M. (C) 10. Camara J. 17. Valencia J. 95. Zielonka N. 9. Bilinski K.
Substitutes
18. Arak J. 21. Baranowicz B. 28. Brod A. 24. Brzozowski D. 20. Danek A. 8. Figiel R. 3. Janiszewski G. 19. Pietrzyk K. 33. Szczuka P. (G)	28. Bebenek K. 14. Bonecki S. 96. Calinski P. 11. Fabry M. 4. Machala M. 16. Ryndak D. 1. Sorcan G. (G) 88. Troc A. 19. Ziemann M.
Coaches
Gorak R.	Derbin A.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches GKS Katowice won 3.

GKS Katowice is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match GKS Katowice is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's GKS Katowice to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 15 head-to-head matches GKS Katowice won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20-21.

Including matches at home between the teams GKS Katowice won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Katowice
Polish Division 1
03.09.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	GKS Katowice - Resovia Rzeszów	3:0 ✺
21.08.23	Znicz Pruszków - GKS Katowice	0:2 ✺
11.08.23	GKS Katowice - Wisła Płock	4:1 ✺
06.08.23	Motor Lublin - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWWWT
- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Club Friendly
08.09.23	Cracovia - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
03.09.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Lechia Gdańsk	5:2 ✺
28.08.23	Odra Opole - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
18.08.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Resovia Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
25.02.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Katowice	2:1
06.08.22	GKS Katowice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:1
Club Friendly
22.06.22	GKS Katowice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:3
Polish Division 1
04.03.22	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Katowice	0:1
22.08.21	GKS Katowice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:2
Club Friendly
17.07.21	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Katowice	2:2
Polish Division 1
31.03.18	GKS Katowice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0

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