Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 7

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)

Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Lechia Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.5
	2.7	3.05	2.5
	2.76	3.3	2.65
	2.75	3	2.4
	2.73	3.3	2.46
	2.72	3.25	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.69)	3.18 ↓ (3.3)	2.5 (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
33.9%

Draw
29.1%

Lechia Gdańsk
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

28.2%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

28%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Lechia Gdańsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kos M. (G) 13. Dalic V. 2. Bykov O. 27. Jonczy D. 77. Wrzesinski K. 14. Bonecki S. 29. Rozwandowicz M. (C) 10. Camara J. 17. Valencia J. 95. Zielonka N. 9. Bilinski K.	29. Sarnavskyi B. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 4. Chindris A. 3. Olsson E. 20. Conrado 8. Kapic R. 99. Neugebauer T. 5. Zhelizko I. 7. Mena C. 10. Fernandez L. (C) 11. Pila D.
Substitutes
28. Bebenek K. 96. Calinski P. 11. Fabry M. 18. Guezen D. 55. Karwot M. 4. Machala M. 16. Ryndak D. 1. Sorcan G. (G) 88. Troc A.	45. Bajko M. 6. Bieganski J. 23. Kalahur M. 42. Kardas A. 83. Mikulko A. (G) 79. Sezonienko K. 21. Sypek J. 9. Zjawinski L.
Coaches
Derbin A.	Grabowski S.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 8).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lechia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 1
28.08.23	Odra Opole - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
18.08.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Resovia Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
04.08.23	Znicz Pruszków - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
29.07.23	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLLT
- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Division 1
25.08.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:0 ✺
20.08.23	Resovia Rzeszów - Lechia Gdańsk	2:0 ✺
13.08.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Znicz Pruszków	1:0 ✺
04.08.23	Wisła Płock - Lechia Gdańsk	1:1 ✺
28.07.23	Lechia Gdańsk - Motor Lublin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
16.03.19	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Lechia Gdańsk	0:1
06.10.18	Lechia Gdańsk - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	4:1

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