Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 18

Date: 11 November 2022, Friday

Location: Tychy City Stadium (Tychy)

Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)


	GKS Tychy		Chojniczanka Chojnice

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.1
	1.95	3.5	3.4
	1.93	3.7	3.35
	1.99	3.55	3.25
	2.01	3.92	3.42
	1.91	3.3	3.5
	1.97	3.7	3.42
	2.01	3.6	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.7)	3.61 ↑ (3.42)	3.34 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Tychy
46.9%

Draw
25.5%

Chojniczanka Chojnice
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26.6%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

19.2%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Tychy's form might have worsened.

Chojniczanka Chojnice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chojniczanka Chojnice's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GKS Tychy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

GKS Tychy - Chojniczanka Chojnice Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. GKS Tychy will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Chojniczanka will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GKS Tychy: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches GKS Tychy won 0.

Recent matches GKS Tychy is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chojniczanka has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

GKS Tychy will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches GKS Tychy won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17-29.

Including matches at home between the teams GKS Tychy won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 1
05.11.22	GKS Tychy - Ruch Chorzów	2:2 ✺
29.10.22	Stal Rzeszów - GKS Tychy	1:2 ✺
23.10.22	GKS Tychy - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:3 ✺
16.10.22	Chrobry Głogów - GKS Tychy	4:1 ✺
09.10.22	GKS Tychy - Skra Częstochowa	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWLLW
- Chojniczanka Chojnice
Polish Division 1
05.11.22	GKS Katowice - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:0 ✺
30.10.22	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Odra Opole	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Arka Gdynia - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:1 ✺
14.10.22	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Resovia Rzeszów	1:2 ✺
07.10.22	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
16.07.22	Chojniczanka Chojnice - GKS Tychy	2:2
07.06.20	GKS Tychy - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:2
30.08.19	Chojniczanka Chojnice - GKS Tychy	1:1
17.05.19	Chojniczanka Chojnice - GKS Tychy	4:1
02.11.18	GKS Tychy - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:1
07.04.18	GKS Tychy - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:2
10.09.17	Chojniczanka Chojnice - GKS Tychy	3:0

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