Match Info

Polish Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tychy City Stadium (Tychy) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Idzik P. (Pol)


	GKS Tychy		Pogoń Siedlce

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.25	3.40
	1.92	3.50	3.20
	1.91	3.57	3.75
	2	3.55	3.27	Watch
	1.88	3.50	3.50
	1.93	3.44	3.85	Watch
	1.98	3.40	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.36)	3.46 ↑ (3.14)	3.49 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Tychy
47.3%

Draw
26.5%

Pogoń Siedlce
26.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

26.8%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Tychy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GKS Tychy's performance.

Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogoń Siedlce might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GKS Tychy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogoń Siedlce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

GKS Tychy - Pogoń Siedlce Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. GKS Tychy will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Myszkowski K. (G) 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 5. Horvat M. (C) 19. Trabka M. 16. Olkowski P. 8. Begala M. 44. Baier N. 75. Chorosinski J. 77. Eskinja J. 10. Kadzior D. 18. Plichta K.	1. Tomkiel J. (G) 27. Barczak J. 26. Kendzia F. 4. Szur P. 72. Szczytniewski S. 31. Dzieciol E. (C) 6. Kizyma M. 95. Zielonka N. 10. Makowski R. 17. Marzec M. 9. Rosolek M.
Substitutes
30. Gebala P. 21. Jankowski B. 11. Koniuszy M. 9. Lewandowski M. 7. Niemann N. 13. Proczek T. (G) 99. Rygula T. 14. Tumala L. 6. Wojtczak O.	56. Demianiuk C. 14. Jakubik D. 22. Klimek P. 21. Kobusinski S. 57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 2. Mis K. 16. Poczobut B. 7. Szuprytowski D. 29. Trepka L.
Coaches
Poms R.	Nocon A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Plichta K. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Plichta K. ⚽, Olkowski P. (A),
34', Szczytniewski S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Barczak J. ↓, Trepka L. ↑,
46', Szczytniewski S. ↓, Mis K. ↑,
56', Plichta K. ↓, Lewandowski M. ↑,
56', Baier N. ↓, Rygula T. ↑,
56', Kadzior D. ↓, Niemann N. ↑,
57', Hoyo-Kowalski D. ↓, Tumala L. ↑,
61', Makowski R. ↓, Kobusinski S. ↑,
61', Zielonka N. ↓, Demianiuk C. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Rosolek M. ⚽,
71', Eskinja J. ↓, Jankowski B. ↑,
81', Marzec M. ↓, Klimek P. ↑,
85', Szur P. 🟨,
85', Lewandowski M. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Rosolek M. ⚽, Kobusinski S. (A),
Extra Time (2 - 0)
97', 3 - 2, Chorosinski J. ⚽,
103', Begala M. ↓, Wojtczak O. ↑,
120', 4 - 2, Lewandowski M. ⚽, Wojtczak O. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Tychy won 4.

GKS Tychy is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Pogoń Siedlce has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

GKS Tychy could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with GKS Tychy holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, GKS Tychy has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:10 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for GKS Tychy against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:8 goals (averaging 1.8:1.6 per game).

Outrights of Polish Cup for now

Tychy: 0.85%

Last Results with these Odds

GKS Tychy - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 37.5%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 2
25.10.26	GKS Tychy - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0 ✺
17.10.26	Legia II - GKS Tychy	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	GKS Tychy - Górnik Łęczna	3:0 ✺
03.10.26	Hutnik - GKS Tychy	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	GKS Tychy - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWWT
- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1
25.10.26	Odra Opole - Pogoń Siedlce	0:1 ✺
18.10.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Rzeszów	3:4 ✺
15.10.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:3 ✺
09.10.26	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Arka Gdynia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
12.04.26	Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Tychy	0:1
27.09.25	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Siedlce	1:3
07.03.25	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Siedlce	2:0
21.08.24	Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Tychy	0:1
28.04.18	Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Tychy	0:1
30.09.17	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Siedlce	2:3
19.11.16	Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Tychy	1:0

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