Match Info

Division 1 - Round 11

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Tychy City Stadium (Tychy)

Referee: Pskit P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	GKS Tychy		Pogoń Siedlce

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.5
	1.85	3.6	3.75
	1.96	3.77	3.67
	1.98	3.38	3.71	Watch
	1.95	3.59	3.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.89)	3.57 ↓ (3.59)	3.64 ↓ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Tychy
48.3%

Draw
26.1%

Pogoń Siedlce
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

26.1%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

25.6%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

GKS Tychy - Pogoń Siedlce Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. GKS Tychy will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. GKS Tychy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wechsel L. (G) 11. Blachewicz M. 5. Glogowski K. 28. Kalemba M. L. 37. Keiblinger J. 22. Kubik T. 4. Lipkowski K. 7. Sanyang M. 19. Stangret M. 8. Szpakowski M. 3. Teclaw J.	57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 3. Dembek B. 56. Demianiuk C. 10. Drag M. 11. Famulak M. 6. Flis M. 14. Jakubik D. 4. Misiak P. 31. Pakulski D. 13. Podlinski K. 7. Szuprytowski D. (C)
Substitutes
15. Bieronski J. 47. Jankowski B. 31. Kolotylo K. (G) 21. Machowski K. 10. Makowski R. 20. Pioterczak B. 9. Rumin D. 18. Stefansson O. 90. Welniak K.	23. Danielewicz K. 19. Kozlowski O. 77. Pik D. 9. Rybak A. 17. Saganowski F. 21. Stypulkowski S. 1. Tomkiel J. (G) 27. Zbrog J. 95. Zielonka N.
Coaches
Skowronek A.	Nocon A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Drag M. 🟨,
36', Teclaw J. 🟨,
37', Jakubik D. 🟨,
39', Pakulski D. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Drag M. ⚽, Podlinski K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 1 - 1, Glogowski K. ⚽, Lipkowski K. (A),
64', Demianiuk C. ↓, Zbrog J. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Flis M. (Pen),
70', Szpakowski M. ↓, Bieronski J. ↑,
70', Glogowski K. ↓, Welniak K. ↑,
72', Keiblinger J. 🟨,
72', 1 - 3, Flis M. ⚽, Famulak M. (A),
76', Keiblinger J. ↓, Machowski K. ↑,
81', Pakulski D. ↓, Stypulkowski S. ↑,
89', Misiak P. ↓, Pik D. ↑,
90', Famulak M. 🟨,
90+2', Lipkowski K. 🟨,
90+3', Szuprytowski D. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Tychy won 3.

GKS Tychy has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pogoń Siedlce has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, GKS Tychy has had a series of away games.

In this match, GKS Tychy is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, GKS Tychy won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, GKS Tychy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Tychy
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - GKS Tychy	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
21.09.25	Znicz Pruszków - GKS Tychy	4:0 ✺
12.09.25	GKS Tychy - Polonia Bytom	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.25	Piast Gliwice - GKS Tychy	3:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
29.08.25	Śląsk Wrocław - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
20.09.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Śląsk Wrocław	2:3 ✺
12.09.25	Chrobry Głogów - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
07.03.25	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Siedlce	2:0
21.08.24	Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Tychy	0:1
28.04.18	Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Tychy	0:1
30.09.17	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Siedlce	2:3
19.11.16	Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Tychy	1:0
31.07.16	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Siedlce	0:1
09.05.15	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Siedlce	4:1

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