Match Info

Division 1 - Round 21

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion ROSRRiT (Siedlce)

Referee: Kawalko G. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Pogoń Siedlce		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.25	Watch
	2.82	3.25	2.38	Watch
	3.11	3.35	2.47
	2.86	3.45	2.36	Watch
	2.8	3	2.3
	2.94	3.26	2.37	Watch
	3	3.1	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.39)	3.22 ↑ (3.13)	2.36 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Siedlce
31.9%

Draw
28.8%

Ruch Chorzów
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.5%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń Siedlce's form might have worsened.

Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

Pogoń Siedlce - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruch Chorzów: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Pogoń Siedlce (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Ruch Chorzów (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 1 - 50%). Ruch Chorzów (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 4. Misiak P. 3. Dembek B. 26. Kolodziejski M. 14. Jakubik D. (C) 10. Drag M. 16. Poczobut B. 27. Zbrog J. 39. Rosolek M. 11. Famulak M. 13. Podlinski K.	33. Gradecki B. (G) 15. Konczkowski M. 24. Komor A. 20. Szymanski S. 38. Karasinski S. 27. Szwoch M. 18. Nagamatsu S. 25. Ventura D. 13. Jendryka J. 7. Kolar M. 21. Szwedzik P.
Substitutes
56. Demianiuk C. 31. Dzieciol E. 22. Klimek P. 19. Kozlowski O. 29. Niezgoda J. 41. Pakulski D. 72. Szczytniewski S. 1. Tomkiel J. (G) 95. Zielonka N.	82. Bielecki J. (G) 77. Ceglarz P. 19. Domagala J. 29. Lachendro F. 23. Mezghrani M. 14. Nono 5. Rosol M. 95. Szczepan D. 6. Szyminski P.
Coaches
Nocon A.	Fornalik W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Kolar M. ⚽, Jendryka J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, Jakubik D. ⚽,
56', 2 - 1, Rosolek M. ⚽,
64', Kolar M. ↓, Szczepan D. ↑,
64', Szwedzik P. ↓, Ceglarz P. ↑,
64', Jendryka J. ↓, Lachendro F. ↑,
76', Zbrog J. ↓, Demianiuk C. ↑,
78', Szczepan D. 🟨,
80', Dembek B. 🟨,
86', Rosolek M. ↓, Niezgoda J. ↑,
90+1', Nagamatsu S. ↓, Rosol M. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 1.

Ruch Chorzów has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Siedlce won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Ruch Chorzow: 4.51% Pogon Siedlce: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Pogon Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9:7	2	12
11	Ruch Chorzow	9	3	3	3	9:11	-2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Pogoń Siedlce - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 37.32%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Ruch Chorzów - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 34.18%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1
06.02.26	Odra Opole - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.01.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Unia Skierniewice	1:5 ✺
24.01.26	Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
06.12.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Wieczysta Kraków	0:2 ✺
29.11.25	Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Siedlce	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
08.02.26	Ruch Chorzów - Śląsk Wrocław	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
31.01.26	Ruch Chorzów - Odra Opole	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Ruch Chorzów	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	Polonia Bytom - Ruch Chorzów	0:4 ✺
17.01.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
08.08.25	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Siedlce	0:2
17.02.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Ruch Chorzów	1:1
02.08.24	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1
Polish Division 2
01.12.21	Pogoń Siedlce - Ruch Chorzów	1:1
30.07.21	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1
19.05.19	Pogoń Siedlce - Ruch Chorzów	1:0
03.11.18	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1

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