The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pogoń Siedlce 23.4%
Draw 25.7%
Ruch Chorzów 51%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.5%
28.2%
42.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.8%
27.6%
43.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pogoń Siedlce's form might have worsened.
Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ruch Chorzów's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Siedlce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ruch Chorzów, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Pogoń Siedlce - Ruch Chorzów Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th and 3rd in the Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 2.
In recent outings, Pogoń Siedlce has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Ruch Chorzów is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ruch Chorzów holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Pogoń Siedlce has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:10 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pogoń Siedlce against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:6 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Ruch Chorzow
12
6
3
3
16:11
5
21
12
Pogon Siedlce
12
4
3
5
14:15
-1
15
Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now
Ruch Chorzow: 8.98% Pogon Siedlce: 0.4%
Last Results with these Odds
Pogoń Siedlce - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 29.49%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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