Match Info

Division 2 - Round 10

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Hutnik		GKS Tychy

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.00	3.40	2.00
	3.10	3.15	2.06
	3.22	3.60	2.07
	3.04	3.66	2.14	Watch
	3.20	3.35	2.06
	3.14	3.66	2.10	Watch
	3.15	3.45	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.62)	3.47 ↑ (3.28)	2.06 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hutnik
29.3%

Draw
26.3%

GKS Tychy
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

27%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

27.3%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hutnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

GKS Tychy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GKS Tychy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GKS Tychy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hutnik - GKS Tychy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Medrala M. (G) 14. Bracik K. 27. Budzinski M. (C) 5. Burka D. 17. Florek B. 47. Galek I. 13. Gandziarowski M. 11. Kordykiewicz O. 20. Sajdak P. 10. Sowinski M. 19. Zawada O.	31. Myszkowski K. (G) 8. Begala M. 75. Chorosinski J. 5. Horvat M. 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 10. Kadzior D. 26. Lasicki I. 9. Lewandowski M. 7. Niemann N. 16. Olkowski P. 19. Trabka M.
Substitutes
16. Bil S. 12. Hoyo-Kowalski D. (G) 8. Kholodov N. 26. Laskowski F. 23. Lelek K. 37. Motrych A. 9. Rzepka K. 24. Sciuk D. 18. Soja M.	44. Baier N. 27. Brzek B. 77. Eskinja J. 30. Gebala P. 21. Jankowski B. 11. Koniuszy M. 18. Plichta K. 13. Proczek T. (G) 6. Wojtczak O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Horvat M. ⚽, Kadzior D. (A),
35', Budzinski M. 🟨,
43', Sowinski M. ↓, Lelek K. ↑,
45', Horvat M. 🟨,
45+1', Zawada O. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Niemann N. ↓, Gebala P. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Gebala P. ⚽, Kadzior D. (A),
66', Florek B. ↓, Bil S. ↑,
66', Gandziarowski M. ↓, Soja M. ↑,
66', Begala M. 🟨,
68', Olkowski P. ↓, Jankowski B. ↑,
68', Begala M. ↓, Wojtczak O. ↑,
71', Chorosinski J. 🟨,
78', Kordykiewicz O. ↓, Rzepka K. ↑,
78', Budzinski M. ↓, Laskowski F. ↑,
79', Lewandowski M. ↓, Plichta K. ↑,
88', Lasicki I. ↓, Eskinja J. ↑,
90+3', Jankowski B. 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Division 2 Promotion - Playoffs and 3rd in the Promotion - Division 2 Promotion - Playoffs).

Hutnik has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

GKS Tychy is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Hutnik has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 2.5:2 goals per game).

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Tychy: 32.61% Hutnik Krakow: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Tychy	10	5	5	0	14:6	8	20
8	Hutnik Krakow	10	4	3	3	16:13	3	15

Last Results with these Odds

Hutnik - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 33.81%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hutnik Kraków
Polish Division 2
20.09.26	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Hutnik	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Hutnik - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:1 ✺
Polish Division 2 - East
06.09.26	Znicz Pruszków - Hutnik	4:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
29.08.26	Hutnik - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Hutnik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLWT
- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 2
20.09.26	GKS Tychy - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Znicz Pruszków - GKS Tychy	1:1 ✺
Polish Division 2 - East
06.09.26	GKS Tychy - Avia Świdnik	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
03.09.26	GKS Tychy - ŁKS Łódź	1:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
30.08.26	Swit Skolwin - GKS Tychy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.01.24	GKS Tychy - Hutnik	3:3
19.02.22	GKS Tychy - Hutnik	1:2

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