Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Hernando Siles (La Paz)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	DGO Latin America, ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
World	Disney+


	GVCD San José		Once Caldas

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.83	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.15
	4.33	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.51	3.58	1.85
	4.46	3.59	1.83	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.15
	4.21	3.58	1.84	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (2.53)	3.5 ↑ (3.29)	1.91 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GVCD San José
23.4%

Draw
27%

Once Caldas
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.7%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

31.1%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GVCD San José has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GVCD San José's form might have worsened.

Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Once Caldas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GVCD San José, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Once Caldas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	0%	94.4%

GVCD San José - Once Caldas Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. GVCD San José will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 17 - 94.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Once Caldas: 83.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Once Caldas (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Once Caldas will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 15 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Poveda B. (G) 2. Ramallo J. 5. Seimandi A. 3. Villamil J. 22. Roca D. 31. Bustos R. 15. Villamil S. 10. Galindo S. 30. Vasquez F. 9. Becerra R. 11. Lopez J.	12. Aguirre J. (G) 22. Cuesta Santos J. D. 3. Malagon J. 34. Cardona J. 33. Patino J. 5. Rojas I. 14. Zapata Ramirez J. A. 20. Garcia Castillo A. 19. Garcia M. 7. Barrios M. 17. Moreno D.
Substitutes
16. Arismendi F. 20. Cabrera A. 14. Calero D. 33. Landa A. 19. Medina A. 28. Pena S. 12. Ribera J. 25. Rivas R. (G) 17. Roca F. 6. Serrano L. 55. Vargas D. 32. Vides B.	9. Alvarez G. 31. Arteaga M. 8. Beltran E. 15. Castano J. 16. Contreras J. 6. Diaz J. 30. Dorrego H. 2. Garcia J. 24. Palacios L. 35. Parra J. (G) 18. Riquett J. 28. Zuleta M.
Coaches
Giovagnoli D.	Herrera H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Zapata Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Moreno D. ⚽, Cardona J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Vasquez F. ↓, Vides B. ↑,
58', Roca D. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
58', Villamil S. ↓, Ribera J. ↑,
62', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
66', Seimandi A. 🟨,
70', 1 - 1, Becerra R. ⚽, Villamil J. (A),
73', 1 - 2, Moreno D. ⚽, Garcia Castillo A. (A),
74', Bustos R. ↓, Pena S. ↑,
78', Barrios M. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Villamil J. ⚽, Vides B. (A),
84', Becerra R. ↓, Roca F. ↑,
85', Garcia Castillo A. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
88', 2 - 3, Moreno D. ⚽,

Preview

GVCD San José is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Once Caldas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

GVCD San José could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Once Caldas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GVCD San José
Bolivian Division Profesional
19.04.25	Always Ready - GVCD San José	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	GVCD San José - The Strongest	0:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
10.04.25	Fluminense - GVCD San José	5:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
06.04.25	Independiente Petroleros - GVCD San José	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.25	GVCD San José - Unión Española	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLLWT
- Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A
19.04.25	Independiente Medellín - Once Caldas	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Once Caldas - Deportivo La Equidad	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Boyacá Chicó - Once Caldas	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.25	Unión Española - Once Caldas	0:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
05.04.25	Once Caldas - América de Cali	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWTWW

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