Match Info

Copa Pacena - Round 9

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Hernando Siles (La Paz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal


	The Strongest		GVCD San José

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.32	4.95	6.5	Watch
	1.58	4.30	4.80	Watch
	1.39	4.55	6.26	Watch
	1.5	4.1	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)	4.48 ↓ (4.5)	5.62 ↓ (6.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The Strongest
63.2%

Draw
20.5%

GVCD San José
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

20.2%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

19.8%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The Strongest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

GVCD San José has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (-3%)

The Strongest - GVCD San José Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Valdivia D. (G) 3. Pedraza P. 4. Chiatti M. 44. Supayabe F. 34. Melgar S. 17. Lovera J. 16. Moriceau T. 28. Ayarza A. 30. Arrascaita J. (C) 31. Bustos R. 10. Sotomayor G.	25. Rivas R. (C) 33. Landa A. 2. Ramallo J. 3. Villamil J. 27. Ceceri K. 55. Vargas D. 8. Escobar M. 12. Ribera J. 40. Vargas J. 7. Andrada F. 30. Vasquez F.
Substitutes
32. Altamirano S. 7. Amoroso J. 20. Garcia J. 29. Portuncho Y. 21. Quaglio F. 6. Quiroga A. 36. Ribera R. 15. Roca C. 25. Somoya M. 8. Ursino L.	4. Alarcon F. 23. Aponte D. 16. Arismendi F. 14. Calero D. 10. Galindo S. 11. Monterubianessi T. 28. Pena S. 1. Poveda B. (G) 22. Roca D. 26. Saavedra D. 6. Serrano L. 15. Villamil S.
Coaches
Monasterio J.	Flores W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Pedraza P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bustos R. ↓, Somoya M. ↑,
46', Ayarza A. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
46', Sotomayor G. ↓, Amoroso J. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Melgar S. ⚽, Amoroso J. (A),
51', Escobar M. 🟨,
55', Somoya M. 🟨,
61', Escobar M. ↓, Villamil S. ↑,
61', Vasquez F. ↓, Pena S. ↑,
66', Lovera J. ↓, Quiroga A. ↑,
68', Villamil J. 🟨,
76', Supayabe F. ↓, Ursino L. ↑,
76', Villamil J. ↓, Calero D. ↑,
77', Vargas J. ↓, Aponte D. ↑,
81', Andrada F. 🟨,
90', Valdivia D. 🟨,
90', Vargas D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, The Strongest won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The Strongest may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, The Strongest has had a series of away games.

In this match, The Strongest is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, The Strongest won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, The Strongest won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The Strongest
Bolivian Copa Pacena
02.10.25	Oriente Petrolero - The Strongest	2:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
29.09.25	The Strongest - Oriente Petrolero	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - The Strongest	3:4 ✺
21.09.25	Guabirá - The Strongest	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Aurora - The Strongest	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWWLL
- GVCD San José
Bolivian Copa Pacena
01.10.25	GVCD San José - Jorge Wilstermann	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
28.09.25	GVCD San José - Bolívar	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Nacional Potosí - GVCD San José	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	GVCD San José - Blooming	1:4 ✺
17.09.25	ABB - GVCD San José	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
23.08.25	The Strongest - GVCD San José	2:1
13.04.25	GVCD San José - The Strongest	0:4
30.10.24	The Strongest - GVCD San José	3:2
20.07.24	GVCD San José - The Strongest	5:2
17.04.24	The Strongest - GVCD San José	2:1
14.04.24	GVCD San José - The Strongest	0:2

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