Match Info

TUNISIA: Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 14

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Gabes Municipal Stadium (Gabes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Gabès		EGS Gafsa

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.1	5.25
	1.68	3.15	5.4
				Watch
	1.7	3	5.5
	1.63	3.24	5.65
	1.68	3.15	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.82)	3.13 ↑ (3.07)	5.44 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabès
54.4%

Draw
29%

EGS Gafsa
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

29.9%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

25.7%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabès has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

EGS Gafsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabès than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabès that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EGS Gafsa than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EGS Gafsa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Gabès - EGS Gafsa Predictions

Users Predictions: Gabès will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Chouaya A. (G) 18. Ahoudo G. 23. Boulila A. 2. El Beji N. 10. Falah M. 26. Guesmi K. 19. Maatougui D. 25. Masasi A. 29. Naffati O. 5. Salem T. 38. Yaakoubi R.	1. Jeridi R. (G) 23. Agbre N. 12. Ajmani A. 29. Bangoura A. 28. Ben Chaieb H. 4. Chabbi A. 19. Horchani A. 10. Mbarek H. 11. Mbarek H. 15. Mejri S. 20. Mhamedi H. (C)
Substitutes
7. Abdelkarim H. 6. Amor I. B. 12. Ben Ammar F. 32. Ben Attig H. (G) 17. Gnounou O. 3. Helali N. 14. Jouini A. 9. Selmi M. 27. Slimane F. B.	24. Bennour M. 16. Ben Rebha R. (G) 5. Chokri A. 13. Frioui A. (G) 18. Jebali O. 7. Jouini A. 35. Mkaddem A. 25. Ncib E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Yaakoubi R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Naffati O. ↓, Selmi M. ↑,
46', Ahoudo G. ↓, Amor I. B. ↑,
60', Ajmani A. ↓, Jouini A. ↑,
60', Bangoura A. ↓, Ben Hassine F. ↑,
66', Mhamedi H. ↓, Jebali O. ↑,
67', Masasi A. ↓, Abdelkarim H. ↑,
67', Falah M. ↓, Slimane F. B. ↑,
68', Salem T. 🟨,
79', Horchani A. ↓, Chokri A. ↑,
89', Boulila A. ↓, Jouini A. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Recent matches Gabès is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gafsa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gabès could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gabès is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gabès won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Gabès won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gabès
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
28.12.24	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane - Gabès	2:2 ✺
20.12.24	Gabès - Ben Guerdane	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Zarzis - Gabès	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Étoile du Sahel - Gabès	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Gabès - Bizertin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTLLW
- EGS Gafsa
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
29.12.24	EGS Gafsa - Étoile du Sahel	1:1 ✺
25.12.24	EGS Gafsa - Espérance ST	0:3 ✺
20.12.24	Bizertin - EGS Gafsa	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Métlaoui - EGS Gafsa	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	EGS Gafsa - Stade Tunisien	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
12.05.15	EGS Gafsa - Gabès	3:0
24.12.14	Gabès - EGS Gafsa	1:2

Gabès - EGS Gafsa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide