The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gainare Tottori 35.5%
Draw 25.7%
Nara Club 38.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.6%
28.4%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
27.5%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gainare Tottori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gainare Tottori's form might have worsened.
Nara Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nara Club's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gainare Tottori, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nara Club, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gainare Tottori - Nara Club Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
47. Momoi R. (G) 42. Kaneura M. 34. Jong S. 23. Matsumoto K. 15. Kiuchi T. 7. Arai R. 8. Tojo A. 21. Yajima S. 19. Yamamoto S. 10. Miki N. 2. Fujita I.
96. Vito M. (G) 22. Ikoma K. 33. Sato H. 16. Okuda Y. 8. Yoshida A. 48. Kawanishi S. 10. Morita R. 11. Sato R. 9. Togashi Y. 54. Kawasaki S. 13. Ando R.
Substitutes
88. Burns A. (G) 77. Hashimoto S. 27. Hombo K. 29. Konishi H. 20. Lorenz M. 55. Oshima H. 9. Shinoda D. 16. Tasei Y.
36. Ishii T. 30. Masuda S. 1. Miyazawa T. (G) 14. Mochizuki S. 99. Morimoto H. 27. Nakayama M. 2. Takahata K. 7. Tamura R. 40. Yoshimura Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
18', Sato R. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Ando R. ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, Sato R. ⚽, Ando R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Matsumoto K. ↓, Hashimoto S. ↑,
56', Miki N. ↓, Shinoda D. ↑,
58', 0 - 3, Ando R. ⚽, Ikoma K. (A),
65', Ando R. ↓, Morimoto H. ↑,
65', Kawasaki S. ↓, Tamura R. ↑,
65', Ikoma K. ↓, Takahata K. ↑,
66', Tojo A. ↓, Hombo K. ↑,
66', Yajima S. ↓, Fujita I. ↑,
70', Nikaido S. 🟨,
71', Togashi Y. ↓, Mochizuki S. ↑,
74', Okuda Y. ↓, Ishii T. ↑,
80', 1 - 3, Shinoda D. ⚽, Arai R. (A),
90', 2 - 3, Hombo K. ⚽, Yamamoto S. (A),
90+2', Jong S. ↓, Lorenz M. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gainare Tottori won 3.
Gainare Tottori is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Nara Club has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Gainare Tottori has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:8 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gainare Tottori against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Nara Club
9
5
2
2
19:16
3
17
11
Gainare Tottori
9
4
1
4
12:18
-6
13
Last Results with these Odds
Gainare Tottori - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 40.61%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Nara Club - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.02%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Japan
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Momoi R. (G) 
Jong S. 
Vito M. (G) 
Lorenz M. 
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