Match Info

J.League Cup - First stage - 1/64-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Axis Bird Stadium (Tottori)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Gainare Tottori		Omiya Ardija

	1	X	2
	3.70	3.40	1.80
	3.60	3.40	1.80
	4.20	3.45	1.70	Watch
	3.91	3.92	1.88
	4.49	4.08	1.66
	3.80	3.85	1.83
	4.14	3.62	1.87	Watch
	3.60	3.45	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↓ (6.5)	3.65 ↓ (3.97)	1.79 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainare Tottori
23.4%

Draw
25.2%

Omiya Ardija
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.1%

23.1%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5%

22%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainare Tottori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gainare Tottori's performance.

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Omiya Ardija might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gainare Tottori that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Omiya Ardija could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Gainare Tottori - Omiya Ardija Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Omiya will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Gainare Tottori (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gainare Tottori (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Burns A. (G) 20. Lorenz M. 3. Nozawa Van Eerden S. T. 55. Oshima H. 32. Moon M. 16. Tasei Y. 77. Hashimoto S. 2. Fujita I. 8. Tojo A. 29. Konishi H. 19. Yamamoto S.	1. Kasahara T. (G) 22. Motegi R. 15. Nakayama K. 13. Iyoha O. 46. Iseri K. 47. Edward M. 29. Higakure N. T. 23. Sugimoto K. 77. Kobayashi Y. 20. Hidaka H. 21. Mueanta S.
Substitutes
7. Arai R. 43. Hatano A. 39. Katori J. 14. Kawamura T. 15. Kiuchi T. 47. Momoi R. (G) 4. Nikaido S. 9. Shinoda D. 44. Uehara M.	38. Harumune K. 14. Izumi T. 16. Kato G. 7. Kojima M. 27. Matsui T. 41. Mizutani A. 36. Nakazawa R. 37. Sekiguchi K. 50. Wakabayashi M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Fujita I. ⚽, Oshima H. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Yamamoto S. ⚽, Lorenz M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Mueanta S. ↓, Matsui T. ↑,
57', 3 - 0, Yamamoto S. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Yamamoto S. ↓, Shinoda D. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Kobayashi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Iseri K. ↓, Izumi T. ↑,
69', Sugimoto K. ↓, Kojima M. ↑,
73', Moon M. ↓, Arai R. ↑,
73', Hashimoto S. ↓, Kawamura T. ↑,
78', Motegi R. ↓, Sekiguchi K. ↑,
78', Edward M. ↓, Kato G. ↑,
90+2', Tojo A. ↓, Kiuchi T. ↑,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Omiya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Omiya is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gainare Tottori won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).

Including home match between the teams, Gainare Tottori won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainare Tottori
Japan J3 League
30.08.26	Reilac Shiga - Gainare Tottori	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Nagoya Grampus - Gainare Tottori	1:3 ✺
Japan J3 League
22.08.26	Gainare Tottori - Fukushima United	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
19.08.26	Gainare Tottori - Roasso Kumamoto	3:2 penalties ✺
Japan J3 League
16.08.26	Ehime - Gainare Tottori	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.7 WWWWL
- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Omiya Ardija - Shonan Bellmare	2:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Omiya Ardija - Vanraure Hachinohe	2:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Consadole Sapporo - Omiya Ardija	1:4 ✺
15.08.26	Imabari - Omiya Ardija	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Omiya Ardija	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
02.11.24	Omiya Ardija - Gainare Tottori	5:4
03.05.24	Gainare Tottori - Omiya Ardija	0:3
Japan Emperors Cup
07.09.16	Omiya Ardija - Gainare Tottori	1:0

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