The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ryūkyū 38.4%
Draw 29.4%
Gainare Tottori 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.7%
29.3%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
29.7%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Gainare Tottori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Ryūkyū - Gainare Tottori Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sato H. (G) 14. Suzuki J. 3. Kikuchi S. 22. Kamiya K. 15. Araki R. 8. Horiuchi H. 11. Ishiura T. 17. Kato Y. 23. Sota K. 39. Ihara A. 9. Asakawa H.
1. Terasawa Y. (G) 42. Kaneura M. 4. Nikaido S. 34. Jong S. 15. Kiuchi T. 18. Arai R. 21. Yajima S. 27. Hombo K. 7. Ozawa H. 10. Miki N. 24. Hoshi K.
Substitutes
35. Chiba K. 16. Ihori K. 46. Ikeda R. 26. Jennings C. 50. Kawashima K. (G) 7. Motegi S. 89. Takagi D. 10. Tomidokoro Y. 18. Ueno Y.
88. Burns A. (G) 2. Fujita I. 66. Moon M. 55. Oshima H. 9. Shinoda D. 32. Takayanagi F. 8. Tojo A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Sota K. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Yajima S. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Kaneura M. ⚽, Yajima S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 3, Hombo K. ⚽,
56', Asakawa H. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,
62', Jong S. ↓, Oshima H. ↑,
71', Ihara A. ↓, Tomidokoro Y. ↑,
71', Sota K. ↓, Takagi D. ↑,
73', Miki N. 🟨,
75', Hombo K. ↓, Fujita I. ↑,
75', Yajima S. ↓, Tojo A. ↑,
75', Hoshi K. ↓, Shinoda D. ↑,
88', Araki R. ↓, Motegi S. ↑,
88', Ishiura T. ↓, Ihori K. ↑,
89', Miki N. ↓, Takayanagi F. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ryūkyū won 2.
In recent matches, Ryūkyū has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Gainare Tottori is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Gainare Tottori may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ryūkyū won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Ryūkyū won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Ryūkyū - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.73%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Sato H. (G) 
Jong S. 
Jennings C. 
Moon M. 
