Match Info

J3 League - Round 8

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Axis Bird Stadium (Tottori)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Gainare Tottori		Zweigen Kanazawa

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	1.88
	3.5	3.4	1.92
	3.74	3.62	1.92	Watch
	3.6	3.2	1.91
	4.05	3.37	1.9	Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.07)	3.37 ↑ (3.13)	1.91 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainare Tottori
25%

Draw
27.1%

Zweigen Kanazawa
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

29.3%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

28.7%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainare Tottori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Zweigen Kanazawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zweigen Kanazawa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gainare Tottori, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zweigen Kanazawa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gainare Tottori - Zweigen Kanazawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Koma R. (G) 3. Nagano S. 4. Nikaido S. 6. Nukui H. 42. Kaneura M. 16. Maruyama S. 21. Kawamura T. 14. Fukoin M. 7. Ozawa H. 19. Miki N. 22. Yoshida I.	21. Yamanoi T. (G) 4. Matsumoto D. 38. Yamamoto N. 20. Nagakura H. 25. Kojima M. 15. Nishiya Y. 8. Oyama K. 23. Shinomiya Y. 30. Otani H. 24. Nishiya K. 10. Patric
Substitutes
18. Handa K. 32. Ikawa T. 55. Oshima H. 39. Sakuraba R. (G) 13. Shimizu Y. 34. Soga D. 9. Tanada R. 10. Togashi Y. 20. Tsunesayu M.	14. Ishihara T. 18. Kumagai A. 16. Mori S. 49. Osawa T. 1. Shirai Y. (G) 39. Shoji H. 11. Sugiura K. 9. Toshida Y.
Coaches
Hayashi K.	Ito A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Yoshida I. ⚽, Fukoin M. (A),
45+2', Nagano S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Kojima M. ↓, Ishihara T. ↑,
58', Otani H. ↓, Osawa T. ↑,
65', Yoshida I. ↓, Handa K. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Shinomiya Y. ⚽, Osawa T. (A),
75', Patric ↓, Toshida Y. ↑,
75', Nishiya Y. ↓, Sugiura K. ↑,
75', Miki N. ↓, Tanada R. ↑,
76', Nukui H. 🟨,
82', Kaneura M. ↓, Soga D. ↑,
82', Fukoin M. ↓, Shimizu Y. ↑,
82', Nukui H. ↓, Oshima H. ↑,
89', Shinomiya Y. ↓, Mori S. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Gainare Tottori is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kanazawa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Kanazawa is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gainare Tottori won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Gainare Tottori won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Last Results with these Odds

Gainare Tottori - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 29.84%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainare Tottori
Japan J3 League
30.03.25	Fukushima United - Gainare Tottori	3:0 ✺
23.03.25	Gainare Tottori - Gifu	3:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Gainare Tottori - Kyoto Sanga	0:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
16.03.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Gainare Tottori	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Osaka - Gainare Tottori	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLL
- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J3 League
30.03.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Nagano Parceiro	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Osaka - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Shonan Bellmare	0:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
16.03.25	Gifu - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Kochi United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
16.11.24	Gainare Tottori - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0
06.05.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Gainare Tottori	3:3

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