Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 9

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Gainsborough Trinity		Avro

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.40	2.55
	2.10	3.20	2.88
	2.37	3.58	2.56
	2.38	3.62	2.68	Watch
	2.30	3.50	2.50
	2.36	3.67	2.68
	2.32	3.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.38)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	2.64 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
39.5%

Draw
26.1%

Avro
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

25.5%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

25.8%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Avro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avro than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Gainsborough Trinity - Avro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Salt H. ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 2, Simms J. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Gainsborough has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Avro is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Avro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Avro	10	8	1	1	33:19	14	25
11	Gainsborough	10	5	1	4	20:14	6	16

Last Results with these Odds

Gainsborough Trinity - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.43%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
31.08.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Cleethorpes Town	0:3 ✺
28.08.26	Ashton United - Gainsborough Trinity	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Quorn - Gainsborough Trinity	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Bury	0:1 ✺
18.08.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Stockton Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTLW
- Avro FC
English FA Cup
05.09.26	Avro - Witton Albion	0:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
31.08.26	United of Manchester - Avro	3:4 ✺
29.08.26	Avro - Stockton Town	5:3 ✺
26.08.26	Avro - Leek Town	4:4 ✺
22.08.26	Hyde United - Avro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWTW

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