Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 8

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Broadhurst Park (Manchester)


	United of Manchester		Avro

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.40	2.10
	3.20	3.45	1.88
	2.85	3.75	2.11
	2.89	3.81	2.17	Watch
	2.80	3.70	2.08
	2.91	3.55	2.10
	2.70	3.30	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (1.8)	3.57 ↑ (3.4)	2.1 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United of Manchester
31.4%

Draw
25.4%

Avro
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

26%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

27.5%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United of Manchester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that United of Manchester's form might have worsened.

Avro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (+20.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for United of Manchester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avro than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

United of Manchester - Avro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Buckley J. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Salt H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
47', 2 - 1, Palinkas J. ⚽,
78', 3 - 1, Chimalilo D. ⚽,
81', 3 - 2, Dyson T. ⚽,
84', 3 - 3, Simms J. ⚽,
86', 3 - 4, Dyson T. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

United of Manchester is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Avro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Avro	10	8	1	1	33:19	14	25
22	FC United	10	1	2	7	12:20	-8	5

Last Results with these Odds

United of Manchester - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 49.1%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
29.08.26	Redcar Athletic - United of Manchester	3:2 ✺
25.08.26	Bamber Bridge - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	United of Manchester - Workington	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Hyde United - United of Manchester	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	United of Manchester - Gainsborough Trinity	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Avro FC
English NPL Premier Division
29.08.26	Avro - Stockton Town	5:3 ✺
26.08.26	Avro - Leek Town	4:4 ✺
22.08.26	Hyde United - Avro	0:1 ✺
19.08.26	Avro - Workington	4:1 ✺
15.08.26	Alfreton Town - Avro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWWL

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