Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 14

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday


	Galapagar		Aravaca

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.3	3.3
	1.99	3.35	3.35
	1.94	3.31	3.57
	1.97	3.37	3.52	Watch
	1.96	3.3	3.51
	1.99	3.35	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.15)	3.33 ↑ (3.21)	3.43 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galapagar
46.3%

Draw
27.3%

Aravaca
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.4%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

27.4%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galapagar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Aravaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aravaca than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Galapagar - Aravaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 1 - 1, Reguilon M. ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, Moreno A. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 9).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Galapagar will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
30.11.24	México - Galapagar	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Galapagar - Parla	3:0 ✺
17.11.24	Villaverde San Andrés - Galapagar	2:2 ✺
10.11.24	Galapagar - Las Rozas	1:3 ✺
03.11.24	Canillas - Galapagar	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWTLW
- Aravaca CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
01.12.24	Aravaca - Trival Valderas	3:1 ✺
24.11.24	Aravaca - Cala Pozuelo	2:1 ✺
16.11.24	México - Aravaca	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Aravaca - Parla	2:3 ✺
03.11.24	Villaverde San Andrés - Aravaca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLL

Galapagar - Aravaca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide