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Current Win Probability
Galatasaray 75.6%
Draw 16.1%
Yeni Malatyaspor 8.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.4%
23.4%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.4%
23.4%
17.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Galatasaray's performance.
Yeni Malatyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yeni Malatyaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-16.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Galatasaray that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeni Malatyaspor than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yeni Malatyaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.8%
4.7%
3.5%
Galatasaray - Yeni Malatyaspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
Galatasaray will win
(78 of 85 users predict this - 91.76%). Confidence interval (95%): 85.91% – 97.61%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
Galatasaray has the most likely position - 13 (16.18%), has project points - 50, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Yeni Malatyaspor has the most likely position - 20 (95.46%), has project points - 25, has currently - 20, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has small quality30, very small importance0, small match rating15. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Galatasaray won 4.
The competitors look crappy now.
Yeni Malatyaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Galatasaray is absolute favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Galatasaray won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Galatasaray won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.
Watch
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