Match Info

Baiano - Round 3

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	TV Brasil, TVE Bahia


	Bahia		Galícia

	1	X	2
	1.07	8.4	23
	1.1	7.15	20	Watch
	1.1	7	34
	1.1	7.84	30
	1.11	7.5	31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.25)	7.58 ↑ (4.62)	27.6 ↑ (13.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
84.4%

Draw
12.2%

Galícia
3.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.4%

19.9%

6.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bahia's performance.

Galícia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Bahia - Galícia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 - Bahia (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Ronaldo Strada (G) 8. Cauly 14. Erick 3. Gabriel Xavier 31. Gomez R. 25. Iago Borduchi 4. Kanu (C) 15. Michel Araujo 26. Nicolas Acevedo 11. Rodrigo 77. Ruan Pablo	1. Rafael Puridade (G) 6. Carlinhos 2. Da Ilha 5. Gabriel Vieira 7. Ivisson 3. Jaques 16. Lucas Araujo 8. Mayron 10. Rafael Mineiro 11. Rogerinho 4. William
Substitutes
90. Caio Suassuna 63. David Martins 89. Dell 83. Fred Lippert 34. Joao Paulo (G) 57. Kaue Junior 37. Kayky 43. Luiz Gustavo 44. Marcos Victor 58. Pedrinho 5. Rezende 66. Ze Guilherme	31. Adilson Bahia 22. Angelo 20. Augusto Sheik 9. Gledson 12. Henrique (G) 23. Igor 15. Luiz Bahia 17. Popo 18. Sandro 13. Thiago 21. Tiaguinho 14. Vitor Ramos

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Erick ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Iago Borduchi ⚽,
58', Carlinhos 🟨,
60', Carlinhos ↓, Gledson ↑,
60', Gabriel Vieira ↓, Popo ↑,
65', Nicolas Acevedo ↓, David Martins ↑,
66', Rodrigo ↓, Kaue Junior ↑,
66', Michel Araujo ↓, Dell ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Kaue Junior ⚽,
75', Ruan Pablo ↓, Kayky ↑,
77', Rogerinho ↓, Sandro ↑,
77', Rafael Mineiro ↓, Tiaguinho ↑,
80', Cauly ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
83', Lucas Araujo ↓, Augusto Sheik ↑,

Preview

Bahia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In this match, Bahia is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:0. (average 4:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:0. (average 3.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
14.01.26	Bahia de Feira - Bahia	0:3 ✺
11.01.26	Bahia - Jequié	4:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Fluminense - Bahia	2:0 ✺
03.12.25	Bahia - Sport Recife	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Juventude - Bahia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWT
- Galícia EC
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
14.01.26	Galícia - Juazeirense	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Galícia	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano 2
27.07.25	Bahia de Feira - Galícia	2:2 ✺
20.07.25	Galícia - Bahia de Feira	0:1 ✺
13.07.25	Itabuna - Galícia	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
18.03.17	Bahia - Galícia	3:0
09.03.16	Bahia - Galícia	4:0
22.03.15	Bahia - Galícia	4:0
15.03.15	Galícia - Bahia	0:5

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