Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Intility Arena (Oslo)


	Vålerenga 2		Bærum

	1	X	2
	3.50	5.00	1.58
	3.50	4.20	1.63
	3.35	5.58	1.65
	3.39	5.5	1.64	Watch
	3.00	5.50	1.63
	3.71	4.89	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.95)	5.11 ↑ (4.5)	1.63 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vålerenga 2
26.6%

Draw
17.7%

Bærum
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

19.6%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

19.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Bærum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga 2 than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bærum than the current prediction. (+2%)

Vålerenga 2 - Bærum Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Renshuslokken J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Apold-Aasen L. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 5th and 4th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga 2 won 1.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

In this matchup, Bærum is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Vålerenga 2 has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:17 (averaging 2.4:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vålerenga 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:4 goals (averaging 3.3:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Valerenga 2	22	13	1	8	52:56	-4	40
6	Baerum Sportsklubb	22	11	2	9	62:41	21	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
19.09.26	Ullern - Vålerenga 2	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Vålerenga 2 - Gamle Oslo	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Vålerenga 2 - Konnerud	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Heming - Vålerenga 2	5:2 ✺
16.08.26	Vålerenga 2 - Ready	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWWLW
- Bærum Sportsklubb
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
19.09.26	Bærum - Union Carl Berner	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Lokomotiv Oslo - Bærum	5:2 ✺
05.09.26	Bærum - Nordstrand	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Konnerud - Bærum	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.08.26	Bærum - Mjøndalen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
25.07.26	Bærum - Vålerenga 2	6:3
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
06.10.22	Vålerenga 2 - Bærum	4:0
20.06.22	Bærum - Vålerenga 2	4:0
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
06.11.21	Bærum - Vålerenga 2	2:2
21.06.21	Vålerenga 2 - Bærum	2:3
21.08.17	Vålerenga 2 - Bærum	4:1
08.05.17	Bærum - Vålerenga 2	1:2

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