Match Info

K3 League - Round 7

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Gangneung		Paju Frontier

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.23	3.15	3
	2.29	3.2	3.25
	2.25	3.11	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.11
	2.23	3.15	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.25)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	3.06 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gangneung
40.9%

Draw
29.2%

Paju Frontier
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

28.3%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

27.2%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gangneung has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Paju Frontier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gangneung than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Gangneung - Paju Frontier Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 0, Han Sang-wook ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 11)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gangneung City won 0.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Gangneung City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gangneung City has had a series of home games.

Gangneung City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gangneung City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gangneung City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gangneung FC
South Korean K3 League
27.04.25	Gangneung - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:3 ✺
19.04.25	Gangneung - Gimhae	1:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
16.04.25	Gangneung - Daejeon Citizen	1:2 ✺
South Korean K3 League
04.04.25	Daejeon Korail - Gangneung	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Gangneung - Ulsan Citizen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLTT
- Paju Frontier
South Korean K3 League
26.04.25	Paju Frontier - Gimhae	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Daejeon Korail - Paju Frontier	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Paju Frontier - Ulsan Citizen	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Paju Frontier - Jeonbuk 2	4:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
23.03.25	Gyeongju KH&NP - Paju Frontier	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
06.07.24	Paju Frontier - Gangneung	2:1
16.03.24	Gangneung - Paju Frontier	1:1
02.09.23	Paju Frontier - Gangneung	1:0
07.05.23	Gangneung - Paju Frontier	0:1
22.10.22	Gangneung - Paju Frontier	1:2
10.04.22	Paju Frontier - Gangneung	2:1
27.06.21	Paju Frontier - Gangneung	2:1

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