Match Info

League Two - Round 12

Date: 19 June 2026, Friday

Location: Dingnan Football Youth Training Center (Dingnan)


	Ganzhou Ruishi		Guangdong Mingtu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	2.90	3.10
	2.20	2.92	3.20	Watch
	2.25	2.91	3.24
	2.16	3.13	3.27	Watch
	2.20	2.70	3.20
	2.22	2.88	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.04)	2.91 ↓ (3)	3.22 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ganzhou Ruishi
40.9%

Draw
31%

Guangdong Mingtu
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

31.1%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

30%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ganzhou Ruishi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ganzhou Ruishi than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ganzhou Ruishi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangdong Mingtu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangdong Mingtu Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ganzhou Ruishi will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Han Zhen (C) 28. Shao Shuai 3. Wang Duolin 26. Li Boyang 4. Zhu Mingxin 19. Jin Jian 41. Anqi Luo 11. Yu Haozhen 6. Gong Ruicong 10. Pan Xuanyu 22. Abdukerim Qaharman	39. Pang Jiajun (G) 12. Chen Rijin 41. Li T. 36. Tan Zhennan 52. Zhong W. 6. Huang Guangliang (C) 8. Tian Li 7. Gu Zhiwei 16. Cai M. 43. Zhu Xinyu 11. Xin Hongjun
Substitutes
17. Gao Qili 18. Guo Fuxin 29. Han Fenglin 5. Han Mufan 8. Hu H. 20. Jiang Zhengjie 15. Liu Guanjun 21. Lu Yuefeng 24. Shi Ming 1. Xiao B. (G) 58. Yu Keli 16. Zhou Z. (G)	18. Abdusemet E. 42. He J. 45. Li J. (G) 9. Li Ming 3. Liu Ruicheng 20. Memet'tursun Merdan 40. Sun Chenxi 50. Wu Z. 46. Yang Zhengyi 19. Ye Zimin 28. Zhang Zhihao
Coaches
Stancic D.	Sanabria A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Zhong W. ⚽, Cai M. (A),
39', Shao Shuai 🟨,
42', Wang Duolin ↓, Guo Fuxin ↑,
42', Pan Xuanyu ↓, Shi Ming ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yu Haozhen ↓, Yu Keli ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Gu Zhiwei ⚽, Cai M. (A),
61', Gu Zhiwei ↓, Yang Zhengyi ↑,
61', Xin Hongjun ↓, He J. ↑,
65', Anqi Luo ↓, Lu Yuefeng ↑,
70', Shi Ming 🟨,
77', Jin Jian ↓, Jiang Zhengjie ↑,
77', Zhu Xinyu ↓, Sun Chenxi ↑,
82', Huang Guangliang ↓, Abdusemet E. ↑,
82', Chen Rijin ↓, Zhang Zhihao ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ganzhou Ruishi won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ganzhou Ruishi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ganzhou Ruishi
Chinese Yi League
14.06.26	Ganzhou Ruishi - Wuhan Three Towns B	1:0 ✺
27.05.26	Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha - Ganzhou Ruishi	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Ganzhou Ruishi - Shenzhen	3:0 ✺
09.05.26	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Ganzhou Ruishi	0:1 ✺
05.05.26	Ganzhou Ruishi - Guizhou Guiyang Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWWL
- Guangdong Mingtu
Chinese Yi League
13.06.26	Guangdong Mingtu - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1:1 ✺
27.05.26	Wuhan Three Towns B - Guangdong Mingtu	0:1 ✺
22.05.26	Wenzhou Professional - Guangdong Mingtu	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Guangdong Mingtu - Hubei Istar	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Chengdu Rongcheng B - Guangdong Mingtu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
21.03.26	Guangdong Mingtu - Ganzhou Ruishi	0:0
19.07.25	Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangdong Mingtu	2:2
13.05.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Ganzhou Ruishi	2:0

Ganzhou Ruishi - Guangdong Mingtu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide