The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guangdong Mingtu 35.3%
Draw 30.6%
Hubei Istar 34.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.8%
30%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29%
29.2%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangdong Mingtu's performance.
Hubei Istar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hubei Istar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangdong Mingtu that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubei Istar than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hubei Istar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Guangdong Mingtu - Hubei Istar Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Guangdong Mingtu will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Hubei Istar will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
14. Li C. (G) 12. Chen Rijin (C) 41. Li T. 36. Tan Zhennan 52. Zhong W. 16. Cai M. 8. Tian Li 19. Ye Zimin 40. Sun Chenxi 43. Zhu X. 20. Memet'tursun Merdan
1. Meng Derui (G) 3. Tang Xin 5. Wang Z. (C) 41. Yu Jingcheng 46. Yang B. 11. Li Z. 20. Nie Aoshuang 8. Gao S. 10. Wen Jialong 7. Guo Yi 17. Chen Jiaqi
Substitutes
18. Abdusemet E. 49. Chen L. 42. He J. 6. Huang Guangliang 9. Li Ming 3. Liu Ruicheng 39. Pang Jiajun (G) 10. Wen Y. 50. Wu Z. 11. Xin Hongjun 46. Yang Zhengyi 28. Zhang Zhihao
33. Hongxiang S. 52. Huang W. 21. Li B. 55. Liu Mingyu 30. Li Yubing 13. Pan Jinglue 22. Xiang Yufei (G) 14. Zhang Chengji 18. Zhu Shiqi
Coaches
Sanabria A.
Wan Houliang
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Li Z. ↓, Li B. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Nie Aoshuang ⚽, Gao S. (A),
59', Ye Zimin ↓, Abdusemet E. ↑,
59', Tian Li ↓, Huang Guangliang ↑,
63', Li T. 🟨,
63', Gao S. 🟨,
63', Meng Derui 🟨,
69', Chen Jiaqi ↓, Huang W. ↑,
73', Memet'tursun Merdan ↓, Li Ming ↑,
73', Zhu X. ↓, Xin Hongjun ↑,
79', Huang W. 🟨,
81', Wen Jialong (Penalty Awarded),
81', 0 - 2, Wen Jialong ⚽,
84', Wen Jialong ↓, Zhang Chengji ↑,
84', Guo Yi ↓, Liu Mingyu ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Li Ming ⚽,
90', Chen Rijin ↓, He J. ↑,
90+1', Nie Aoshuang ↓, Li Yubing ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).
Guangdong Mingtu is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Hubei Istar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guangdong Mingtu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Guangdong Mingtu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Watch
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Li C. (G) 
Sanabria A. 
