Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group IV - Round 25

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Garbarnia Kraków		Star Starachowice

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.5	2.05
	2.88	3.54	2.1
	2.97	3.61	2.14	Watch
	2.55	3.65	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.75)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	2.14 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garbarnia Kraków
32.2%

Draw
25.3%

Star Starachowice
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

26.1%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

25.3%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garbarnia Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Star Starachowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Garbarnia Kraków aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Star Starachowice than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Duda M. (Pen),
74', 2 - 0, Nowak M. ⚽,
80', 3 - 0, Sowinski M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 3).

Garbarnia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Star Starachowice is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Garbarnia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Garbarnia Kraków
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
06.04.24	Czarni Połaniec - Garbarnia Kraków	3:3 ✺
30.03.24	Garbarnia Kraków - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Garbarnia Kraków	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Garbarnia Kraków - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:3 ✺
09.03.24	Wieczysta Kraków - Garbarnia Kraków	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTTLL
- Star Starachowice
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
06.04.24	Star Starachowice - Wiślanie Jaśkowice	3:0 ✺
30.03.24	Karpaty Krosno - Star Starachowice	0:2 ✺
23.03.24	Sokół Sieniawa - Star Starachowice	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Star Starachowice - Czarni Połaniec	4:0 ✺
09.03.24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Star Starachowice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
16.09.23	Star Starachowice - Garbarnia Kraków	3:0

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