Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 23

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Garde Nationale		Nouadhibou

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.41	4.02	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.41 ↓ (7.65)	4.02 ↑ (3.26)	1.54 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garde Nationale
17.1%

Draw
23%

Nouadhibou
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.9%

27.9%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6%

27.2%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garde Nationale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Garde Nationale's performance.

Nouadhibou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Garde Nationale than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Garde Nationale that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nouadhibou than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Garde Nationale - Nouadhibou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Garde Nationale won 0.

Garde Nationale has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nouadhibou is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Nouadhibou is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Garde Nationale won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 5:20 (average 0.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Garde Nationale won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 2:11 (average 0.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Garde Nationale
Mauritania Ligue 1
16.03.25	Tevragh-Zeina - Garde Nationale	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Garde Nationale - Al-Merreikh	0:1 ✺
05.03.25	Nzeidane - Garde Nationale	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Garde Nationale - Inter Nouakchott	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Douanes Nouakchott - Garde Nationale	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLTL
- FC Nouadhibou
Mauritania Ligue 1
16.03.25	Nouadhibou - Toulde	2:1 ✺
06.03.25	Nouadhibou - Kaédi	3:1 ✺
25.02.25	Gendrim - Nouadhibou	0:2 ✺
21.02.25	Pompier - Nouadhibou	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Nouadhibou - Tevragh-Zeina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Mauritania Ligue 1
22.11.24	Nouadhibou - Garde Nationale	0:0
18.02.24	Garde Nationale - Nouadhibou	0:1
22.09.23	Nouadhibou - Garde Nationale	3:1
18.04.23	Garde Nationale - Nouadhibou	0:1
25.11.22	Nouadhibou - Garde Nationale	3:1
07.03.22	Garde Nationale - Nouadhibou	2:3
11.04.21	Garde Nationale - Nouadhibou	0:2

Garde Nationale - Nouadhibou: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide