Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 30

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Central stadium (Sagaredzo)

Referee: Kikacheishvili G. (Geo)


	Gareji Sagarejo		Samgurali Tskhaltubo

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.2	2.88	Watch
	2.17	3.35	3.00	Watch
	2.29	3.38	2.98
	2.1	3.14	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.17)	3.27 ↓ (3.35)	3 (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gareji Sagarejo
41.6%

Draw
28%

Samgurali Tskhaltubo
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

27.3%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

27.1%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gareji Sagarejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Samgurali Tskhaltubo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gareji Sagarejo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samgurali Tskhaltubo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Gareji Sagarejo - Samgurali Tskhaltubo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gareji will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Gurgenidze L. (G) 8. Tsetskhladze T. 3. Kamladze I. 5. Gabadze G. 2. Mosashvili B. 17. Vekua G. 21. Dzebniauri T. 30. Arthur J. 13. Galakhvaridze N. 10. Papava L. (C) 9. Gogolashvili G.	13. Kalichava N. (G) 5. Janjgava I. 4. Patarkatsishvili O. (C) 39. Ryan 16. Bull 17. Ayni A. 20. Vinicius Vianna 15. Gean Rodrigues 27. Shergelashvili L. 9. Wellissol 14. Pantsulaia G.
Substitutes
19. Ekongolo F. 7. Gogoberishvili B. 34. Kacharava N. 15. Kapanadze T. 14. Parunashvili L. 16. Skhirtladze D. 4. Svianadze S. 23. Tolordava L. 22. Tsivtsivadze G.	3. Abuladze M. 40. Belov R. (G) 10. Chikhladze D. 28. Claudio Cebolinha 21. Gaprindashvili A. 22. Gognadze T. 8. Jefinho 2. Kvaratskhelia L. 29. Manjgaladze N.
Coaches
Mikadze G.	Thiago Gomes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Gean Rodrigues ⚽, Ayni A. (A),
20', Bull 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Tsetskhladze T. ⚽, Galakhvaridze N. (A),
45+3', Vekua G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Vekua G. ↓, Skhirtladze D. ↑,
50', Gabadze G. ↓, Kacharava N. ↑,
67', Papava L. ↓, Ekongolo F. ↑,
75', Ayni A. ↓, Jefinho ↑,
75', Bull ↓, Chikhladze D. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Gean Rodrigues ⚽, Pantsulaia G. (A),
90', Dzebniauri T. ↓, Gogoberishvili B. ↑,
90', Galakhvaridze N. ↓, Parunashvili L. ↑,
90', 1 - 3, Jefinho ⚽,
90+2', Gean Rodrigues ↓, Kvaratskhelia L. ↑,
90+2', Pantsulaia G. ↓, Abuladze M. ↑,
90+3', Vinicius Vianna ↓, Gaprindashvili A. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 4, Chikhladze D. ⚽,

Preview

Gareji has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Samgurali is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gareji will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gareji won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Gareji won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gareji Sagarejo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
22.10.25	Dinamo Batumi - Gareji Sagarejo	1:4 ✺
17.10.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Dila Gori	3:2 ✺
03.10.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Iberia 1999 - Gareji Sagarejo	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Gagra	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 WWLTT
- Samgurali Tskhaltubo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
22.10.25	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Kolkheti Poti - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:3 ✺
03.10.25	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Telavi	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Dinamo Batumi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dila Gori	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
18.08.25	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Gareji Sagarejo	2:2
03.05.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:1
11.03.25	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Gareji Sagarejo	3:1

Gareji Sagarejo - Samgurali Tskhaltubo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide