Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 27

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: 26 May Stadium (Tsqaltubo)

Referee: Kruashvili G. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV


	Samgurali Tskhaltubo		Dinamo Tbilisi

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.40	1.87
	3.40	3.30	1.92	Watch
	3.45	3.58	2.00
	3.36	3.43	2.01	Watch
	3.35	3.45	1.98
	3.30	3.71	2.01	Watch
	3.35	3.35	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.41)	3.46 ↓ (3.6)	1.96 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samgurali Tskhaltubo
27%

Draw
26.4%

Dinamo Tbilisi
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

25.8%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

24.7%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samgurali Tskhaltubo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Dinamo Tbilisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samgurali Tskhaltubo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Tbilisi than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dinamo Tbilisi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Siukaev A. (G) 13. Gegetchkori L. 4. Patarkatsishvili O. (C) 25. Shatirishvili M. 27. Shergelashvili L. 20. Vinicius Vianna 10. Gilmore L. 9. Gaprindashvili T. 15. Gean Rodrigues 28. Claudio Cebolinha 19. Siradze I.	20. Flores L. (G) 17. Psaltis P. 27. Kurdic N. 13. Pourzitidis M. 6. Leo Santos 22. Ninua N. (C) 23. Kankava J. 8. Welton 10. Kharaishvili G. 14. Do Couto M. 7. Doltmurziev K.
Substitutes
8. Bidzinashvili I. 22. Gogia G. 26. Iashvili Z. 33. Isac Martins 12. Kasradze A. (G) 7. Khorkheli N. 11. Krasovski D. 39. Ryan	34. Gbomadu M. 26. Gogua G. 33. Houri L. 39. Kakashvili K. 18. Kvaratskhelia T. 30. Lomidze G. 37. Makatsaria M. (G) 24. Osei B. 11. Vatsadze M.
Coaches
Oniani G.	Ketsbaia T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
12', 1 - 0, Gegetchkori L. (Penalty Awarded),
27', Ninua N. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Do Couto M. ⚽, Psaltis P. (A),
34', Siradze I. ↓, Tsetskhladze N. ↑,
37', 1 - 2, Doltmurziev K. ⚽, Ninua N. (A),
42', 2 - 2, Gegetchkori L. ⚽, Gean Rodrigues (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Kharaishvili G. ↓, Houri L. ↑,
60', Welton ↓, Osei B. ↑,
63', Claudio Cebolinha ↓, Bidzinashvili I. ↑,
65', Flores L. 🟨,
66', Doltmurziev K. ↓, Vatsadze M. ↑,
74', 2 - 3, Ninua N. ⚽,
77', Do Couto M. ↓, Kvaratskhelia T. ↑,
77', Kankava J. ↓, Kakashvili K. ↑,
80', Shergelashvili L. ↓, Krasovski D. ↑,
80', Gegetchkori L. ↓, Gogia G. ↑,
80', Gaprindashvili T. ↓, Khorkheli N. ↑,
90+1', Khorkheli N. 🟨,
90+6', Pourzitidis M. 🟨,
90+6', Gilmore L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samgurali won 1.

Samgurali has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Dinamo Tbilisi has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Dinamo Tbilisi has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Dinamo Tbilisi holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Samgurali has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:33 (averaging 1.2:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Samgurali against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 14:12 goals (averaging 1.4:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dinamo Tbilisi	27	13	9	5	45:30	15	48
7	Samgurali	27	9	5	13	38:52	-14	32

Last Results with these Odds

Samgurali Tskhaltubo - the odds 3.41 are the expected chance of winning is 27.25%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Dinamo Tbilisi - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.93%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samgurali Tskhaltubo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
14.09.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	3:2 ✺
09.09.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dila Gori	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Iberia 1999 - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Rustavi	1:1 ✺
Georgian Cup
26.08.26	Dila Gori - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:1 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
14.09.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Gagra	4:0 ✺
10.09.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Meshakhte Tkibuli	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Dila Gori	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Rustavi	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
18.06.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	5:3
25.04.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:2
Club Friendly
02.02.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	1:1
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
22.10.25	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:1
10.08.25	Dinamo Tbilisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	1:1
29.04.25	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dinamo Tbilisi	0:0
06.03.25	Dinamo Tbilisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:1

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