Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 11

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Central stadium (Sagaredzo)


	Gareji Sagarejo		Telavi

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.88	2.28
	3.06	2.88	2.29
	3.19	2.86	2.33	Watch
	3	2.7	2.38
	3.11	2.89	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.07)	2.84 ↓ (3.2)	2.32 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gareji Sagarejo
29.3%

Draw
31.8%

Telavi
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28.8%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

27.9%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gareji Sagarejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gareji Sagarejo's form might have worsened.

Telavi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Telavi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gareji Sagarejo than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gareji Sagarejo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telavi than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Telavi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gareji Sagarejo - Telavi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Telavi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bediashvili G. (G) 30. Zurabiani D. 24. Samadashvili G. 26. Eradze Z. 23. Gulisashvili I. 4. Tolordava L. (C) 5. Nikolaishvili G. 17. Kalandadze L. 10. Babunadze T. 11. Aidarashvili D. 29. Gugberidze B.	1. Shevchenko O. (G) 13. Galakhvaridze N. 34. Talakhashvili G. 23. Datuashvili A. 29. Parkinashvili E. 4. Marakvelidze P. (C) 11. Zhividze T. 8. Devdariani A. 17. Geguchadze S. 21. Kipiani N. 20. Arabuli B.
Substitutes
3. Chokheli N. 9. Gelashvili N. 6. Gogokhia N. 22. Grigalashvili N. 15. Kapanadze T. 1. Liparteliani A. (G) 21. Ninidze N. 14. Tchikaidze I. 8. Tsetskhladze G.	5. Gabitashvili P. 22. Gogotishvili D. 9. Iobashvili J. 14. Ivaniadze G. 30. Khabuliani G. 19. Kutalia D. 10. Nikabadze G. 39. Rushenas A. (G) 6. Salukvadze L.

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga and 6).

Gareji has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Telavi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gareji may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gareji could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gareji won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gareji won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Gareji Sagarejo	27	14	8	5	35:28	7	50
2	Telavi	27	11	10	6	29:25	4	43

Last Results with these Odds

Gareji Sagarejo - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.47%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gareji Sagarejo
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
26.04.26	Shturmi - Gareji Sagarejo	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Gori	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Samtredia - Gareji Sagarejo	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Odishi 1919	1:1 ✺
07.04.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Sioni Bolnisi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWTW
- FC Telavi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
02.05.26	Aragvi Dusheti - Telavi	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Odishi 1919 - Telavi	3:1 ✺
22.04.26	Telavi - Shturmi	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Gori - Telavi	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Telavi - Aragvi Dusheti	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
21.11.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Telavi	3:3
13.09.25	Telavi - Gareji Sagarejo	0:0
16.05.25	Gareji Sagarejo - Telavi	0:0
06.04.25	Telavi - Gareji Sagarejo	1:0
Georgian Cup
07.08.22	Gareji Sagarejo - Telavi	0:1

Gareji Sagarejo - Telavi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide