Match Info

LITHUANIA: I Lyga - Round 12

Date: 31 May 2024, Friday


	Garliava		Banga Gargždai 2

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	3.9
	1.87	3.1	4.2	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.75
	1.92	3.1	3.4
	1.83	3	4
	1.96	3.14	3.73
	1.88	3.2	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.25)	3.11 ↓ (3.2)	3.85 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garliava
47.7%

Draw
28.9%

Banga Gargždai 2
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.8%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

27.2%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garliava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Garliava's performance.

Banga Gargždai 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Banga Gargždai 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Garliava than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banga Gargždai 2 than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Banga Gargždai 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Garliava - Banga Gargždai 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Garliava will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Garliava: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valeckas D. (G) 28. Barila M. 7. Cepkauskas L. 21. Kabosius A. 9. Korolenko V. 25. Kraskovskyi K. 19. Obolevicius K. 8. Pablo Alves Pereira I. 27. Pedro R. 5. Rakasius T. (C) 10. Vykhliaiev D.	12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 57. Ambrazaitis M. 77. Balasanov A. 44. Galbuogis G. 80. Juska B. 86. Kasperavicius P. 14. Kirjanov E. 23. Piliukaitis V. 21. Pliuskys K. (C) 81. Praleika S. 25. Skruibys M.
Substitutes
23. Akinis N. 14. Bohdanovych Y. 33. Chibueze Ekubo D. 12. Dzekcioras K. (G) 18. Janusa K. 4. Slyusarenko D. 11. Spycius A. 24. Sumskis A.	35. Bertasius M. 53. Juozapavicius J. 45. Laugalys R. 61. Rusteika E. 43. Statkus A. 27. Straksys A. 54. Urbonas N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Balasanov A. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Piliukaitis V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Garliava will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Garliava won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Garliava won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Garliava
Lithuanian Division 2
26.05.24	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Garliava	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	Garliava - Riteriai	0:1 ✺
11.05.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Garliava	2:1 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
07.05.24	Garliava - Kauno Žalgiris	0:5 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
03.05.24	Garliava - Nevėžis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLLT
- Banga Gargždai 2
Lithuanian Division 2
25.05.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Ekranas	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	BFA Vilnius - Banga Gargždai 2	2:2 ✺
13.05.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - FA Šiauliai B	1:3 ✺
04.05.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Banga Gargždai 2	2:1 ✺
29.04.24	Banga Gargždai 2 - Panevėžys 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
14.10.22	Garliava - Banga Gargždai 2	1:0
10.06.22	Banga Gargždai 2 - Garliava	1:1

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