Match Info

LITHUANIA: I LYGA - ROUND 8

Date: 28 April 2023, Friday


	Garliava		Riteriai 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.25	2.95
	2.2	3.2	2.75
	1.92	3.24	3.21
	2.93	3.6	2.07
	2.06	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.53)	3.34 ↑ (3.24)	2.82 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garliava
40.6%

Draw
27.2%

Riteriai 2
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

27.7%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

28.4%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garliava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Garliava's performance.

Riteriai 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Garliava than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Garliava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riteriai 2 than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Riteriai 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Garliava - Riteriai 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Garliava will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Riteriai 2 will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 6).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Riteriai 2 have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Garliava won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Garliava won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Garliava
Lithuanian Division 2
22.04.23	Transinvest - Garliava	3:3 ✺
15.04.23	Garliava - Jonava	1:1 ✺
07.04.23	Neptūnas - Garliava	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	Garliava - Nevėžis	0:0 ✺
26.03.23	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Garliava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.3 TTWTT
- FK Riteriai 2
Lithuanian Division 2
23.04.23	Riteriai 2 - FA Šiauliai B	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Minija Kretinga - Riteriai 2	1:0 ✺
10.04.23	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Riteriai 2	1:4 ✺
02.04.23	Transinvest - Riteriai 2	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Jonava - Riteriai 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
16.09.22	Riteriai 2 - Garliava	0:0
21.05.22	Garliava - Riteriai 2	0:1

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