Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday


	Gateshead		Maidstone United

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	3.5
	1.82	3.75	3.7
	1.9	3.5	3.6
	1.84	3.75	3.55
	1.82	4.05	3.97
	2.15	3.3	3
	1.82	3.84	3.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.13)	3.71 ↑ (3.6)	3.59 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
49.3%

Draw
24.9%

Maidstone United
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

25.6%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

25.8%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gateshead's performance.

Maidstone United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maidstone United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gateshead that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maidstone United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	20%	50%

Gateshead - Maidstone United Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gateshead will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Maidstone will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maidstone: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gateshead won 4.

Gateshead is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Maidstone is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gateshead will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Gateshead won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Gateshead won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League
30.08.22	Wrexham - Gateshead	3:1 ✺
27.08.22	Gateshead - Wealdstone	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Dorking Wanderers - Gateshead	2:1 ✺
16.08.22	Gateshead - Notts County	1:1 ✺
13.08.22	Gateshead - Barnet	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTT
- Maidstone United
English National League
29.08.22	Aldershot Town - Maidstone United	1:3 ✺
27.08.22	Maidstone United - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Wrexham - Maidstone United	5:0 ✺
16.08.22	Maidstone United - Dorking Wanderers	2:4 ✺
13.08.22	Maidstone United - York City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
22.12.18	Maidstone United - Gateshead	2:3
01.09.18	Gateshead - Maidstone United	1:0
English FA Trophy
06.02.18	Gateshead - Maidstone United	3:0
03.02.18	Maidstone United - Gateshead	2:2
English National League
27.01.18	Gateshead - Maidstone United	2:1
23.09.17	Maidstone United - Gateshead	2:2
08.04.17	Gateshead - Maidstone United	1:2

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