Match Info

National League South - Round 34

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Gallagher Stadium (Maidstone)


	Maidstone United		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.4	2.28
	2.58	3.61	2.42
	2.86	3.65	2.24	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.38
	2.81	3.75	2.24
	2.71	3.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.71)	3.55 ↓ (3.73)	2.3 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maidstone United
33.8%

Draw
26%

Dorking Wanderers
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

24.9%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

23.5%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidstone United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3%)

Maidstone United - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Prior J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 1, Faal M. ⚽,
90+2', Knight G. 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maidstone won 0.

Recent form of Maidstone has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Dorking is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dorking may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Maidstone has had a series of away games.

Recently, Dorking has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Maidstone won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Maidstone won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Maidstone: 9.77%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Maidstone	10	6	1	3	18:11	7	19
9	Dorking	10	4	4	2	22:16	6	16

Last Results with these Odds

Dorking Wanderers - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.77%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidstone United
English National League South
16.02.26	Chelmsford City - Maidstone United	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Chippenham Town - Maidstone United	1:0 ✺
10.02.26	Eastbourne Borough - Maidstone United	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Maidstone United - Slough Town	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Tonbridge Angels - Maidstone United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLLLT
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
17.02.26	Dorking Wanderers - Hornchurch	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Dorking Wanderers - Farnborough	5:3 ✺
10.02.26	Dorking Wanderers - Dover Athletic	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Dorking Wanderers - Salisbury	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Dorking Wanderers - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
22.11.25	Dorking Wanderers - Maidstone United	3:1
11.03.25	Maidstone United - Dorking Wanderers	1:1
05.11.24	Dorking Wanderers - Maidstone United	1:1
English National League
13.12.22	Dorking Wanderers - Maidstone United	3:2
16.08.22	Maidstone United - Dorking Wanderers	2:4
English National League South
26.02.22	Dorking Wanderers - Maidstone United	1:0
23.10.21	Maidstone United - Dorking Wanderers	0:2

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