Match Info

Date: 30 September 2020, Wednesday


	Gauthiod		Ljungskile

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.5	1.5
	4.6	4.6	1.54
	4.7	4.2	1.52
	4.57	4.58	1.56
	5.15	4.5	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.7 ↓ (7.25)	4.48 ↓ (5.23)	1.54 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gauthiod
19.6%

Draw
20.6%

Ljungskile
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.9%

17.9%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

15.5%

79.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gauthiod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gauthiod's performance.

Ljungskile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ljungskile might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gauthiod than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gauthiod that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ljungskile than the current prediction. (+20%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ljungskile could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gauthiod - Ljungskile Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Gauthiod could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ljungskile is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Gauthiod
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
26.09.20	Tidaholm - Gauthiod	1:1 ✺
19.09.20	Gauthiod - Karlstad II	2:0 ✺
12.09.20	Gauthiod - Sävedalen	1:2 ✺
09.09.20	Ahlafors - Gauthiod	1:1 ✺
04.09.20	Vänersborgs IF - Gauthiod	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWLTT
- Ljungskile SK
Swedish Superettan
26.09.20	Halmstad - Ljungskile	2:0 ✺
21.09.20	AFC Eskilstuna - Ljungskile	0:0 ✺
17.09.20	Ljungskile - Norrby	1:1 ✺
11.09.20	Örgryte - Ljungskile	4:0 ✺
05.09.20	Ljungskile - Akropolis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTLW

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