Match Info

Super Lig - Round 21

Date: 9 February 2026, Monday

Location: Kalyon Stadyumu (Gaziantep)

Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2


	Gaziantep		Kasımpaşa

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.3
	2.15	3.32	3.23
	2.21	3.43	3.45
	2.13	3.45	3.42	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.25
	2.14	3.5	3.58	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.03)	3.37 ↑ (3.35)	3.38 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gaziantep
44.3%

Draw
27.9%

Kasımpaşa
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

27.9%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

27.1%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gaziantep has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56%	28%	16%

Gaziantep - Kasımpaşa Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Gaziantep will win (votes: 14 - 56%). Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaziantep: 36.5% – 75.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaziantep (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Gaziantep (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Kasımpaşa (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Gaziantep (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaziantep (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Kasımpaşa (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Gorgen Z. (G) 30. Sangare N. 23. Sanuc T. T. 5. Mujakic N. 77. Rodrigues K. 61. Ozcicek O. 3. Camara D. 10. Kozlowski K. 44. Maxim A. (C) 11. Lungoyi C. 9. Bayo M.	1. Gianniotis A. (G) 22. Corekci K. 50. Rodrigo Becao 20. Opoku N. 12. Ben Ouanes M. (C) 16. Baldursson A. F. 26. Demirbay K. 71. Kahveci I. C. 19. Benedyczak A. 18. Allevinah J. 23. Tosun C.
Substitutes
85. Akmelek M. 71. Bozan M. (G) 70. Dragus D. 17. Gassama K. 8. Gidado V. 32. Kabadayi Y. 6. Kabasakal M. 4. Kizildag A. 2. Perez L. 18. Sorescu D.	4. Arous A. 5. Aydin E. 8. Cafu 34. Diabate F. 21. Frimpong G. 77. Gueye P. 17. Kanatsizkus K. 11. Kol A. 33. Tasdemir E. 25. Yanar A. (G)
Coaches
Yilmaz B.	Belozoglu E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Benedyczak A. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Kozlowski K. ⚽, Bayo M. (A),
36', 2 - 1, Bayo M. ⚽, Camara D. (A),
42', Camara D. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Sangare N. 🟨,
59', Bayo M. ↓, Dragus D. ↑,
64', Baldursson A. F. ↓, Kol A. ↑,
64', Allevinah J. ↓, Diabate F. ↑,
68', Corekci K. 🟨,
75', Kozlowski K. ↓, Gassama K. ↑,
77', Corekci K. ↓, Cafu ↑,
77', Benedyczak A. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
81', Demirbay K. ↓, Kanatsizkus K. ↑,
83', Opoku N. 🟨,
84', Maxim A. ↓, Kabasakal M. ↑,
84', Rodrigues K. ↓, Kizildag A. ↑,
85', Ozcicek O. ↓, Gidado V. ↑,
90', Kabasakal M. 🟨,
90+2', Gorgen Z. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gaziantep won 2.

Gaziantep has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kasımpaşa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Gaziantep may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gaziantep will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Gaziantep: Abena M. (Inactive) Ablak A. (Knee Injury) M'Bakata S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Hajradinovic H. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Gaziantep: Ndiaye B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Aydin E. (Inactive) Kahveci I. C. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gaziantep won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:21. (average 2.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gaziantep won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Kasimpasa	7	2	4	1	8:8	0	10
12	Gaziantep	7	2	2	3	7:10	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gaziantep FK
Turkish Cup
05.02.26	Keçiörengücü - Gaziantep	1:5 ✺
Turkish Super League
01.02.26	Gençlerbirliği - Gaziantep	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Gaziantep - Konyaspor	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Galatasaray - Gaziantep	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
13.01.26	Gaziantep - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WLTTW
- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
30.01.26	Kasımpaşa - Samsunspor	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	Trabzonspor - Kasımpaşa	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Kasımpaşa - Antalyaspor	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Galatasaray - Kasımpaşa	3:0 ✺
12.12.25	Kasımpaşa - Gençlerbirliği	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
30.08.25	Kasımpaşa - Gaziantep	2:3
24.05.25	Gaziantep - Kasımpaşa	2:2
05.01.25	Kasımpaşa - Gaziantep	2:2
21.04.24	Gaziantep - Kasımpaşa	2:0
03.12.23	Kasımpaşa - Gaziantep	4:2
01.10.22	Kasımpaşa - Gaziantep	1:0
03.04.22	Kasımpaşa - Gaziantep	2:1

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