Match Info

Turkish Cup - Round 2

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Kalyon Stadyumu (Gaziantep)

Referee: Pakkan B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	A Spor
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Turkey	A Spor


	Gaziantep		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.8
	2.2	3.55	2.95	Watch
	2.67	3.5	2.48	Watch
	3.2	3.25	2.05
	2.28	3.42	2.92	Watch
	3.14	3.5	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.18)	3.45 ↑ (3.17)	2.56 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gaziantep
36%

Draw
27.2%

Kocaelispor
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

29.2%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

30.4%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gaziantep has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gaziantep's form might have worsened.

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kocaelispor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gaziantep, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kocaelispor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Gaziantep - Kocaelispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gaziantep will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Gorgen Z. (G) 2. Perez L. 23. Sanuc T. T. 4. Kizildag A. 30. Sangare N. 61. Ozcicek O. 17. Gassama K. 32. Kabadayi Y. 44. Maxim A. (C) 3. Camara D. 9. Bayo M.	1. Jovanovic A. (G) 22. Oguz A. 2. Dijksteel A. 6. Smolcic H. 3. Cinan M. 8. Keita H. 10. Linetty K. 70. Keles C. 75. Bingol T. 17. Churlinov D. 9. Petkovic B. (C)
Substitutes
85. Akmelek M. 71. Bozan M. (G) 40. Gidado V. 6. Kabasakal M. 26. Kalin A. O. 11. Lungoyi C. 83. Mujdeci M. 18. Sorescu D.	7. Agyei D. 5. Balogh B. 27. Bilim E. 35. Degirmenci G. (G) 18. Gedik F. 98. Nonge J. 99. Rivas R. 11. Sagat A. 34. Syrota O. 23. Yalcin S.
Coaches
Yilmaz B.	Inan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Sanuc T. T. 🟥,
36', Bingol T. 🟨,
40', Petkovic B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Linetty K. ↓, Agyei D. ↑,
46', Keles C. ↓, Nonge J. ↑,
46', Oguz A. ↓, Rivas R. ↑,
66', Gassama K. ↓, Sorescu D. ↑,
66', Maxim A. ↓, Kabasakal M. ↑,
71', Keita H. 🟨,
77', Bayo M. ↓, Lungoyi C. ↑,
77', Churlinov D. ↓, Sagat A. ↑,
83', Gorgen Z. 🟨,
87', 1 - 0, Lungoyi C. ⚽, Sangare N. (A),
88', Kabadayi Y. ↓, Gidado V. ↑,
90+3', Keita H. 🟨,

Preview

Recent form of Gaziantep has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kocaelispor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kocaelispor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gaziantep won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gaziantep won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Kocaelispor - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.48%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gaziantep FK
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Argeș Pitești - Gaziantep	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Gaziantep - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
22.12.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Gaziantep	5:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.12.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Gaziantep	5:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
14.12.25	Gaziantep - Göztepe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WTLLL
- Kocaelispor
Turkish Cup
23.12.25	Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
19.12.25	Kocaelispor - Antalyaspor	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Kocaelispor - Kasımpaşa	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Kocaelispor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
14.09.25	Gaziantep - Kocaelispor	2:0
Turkish Cup
16.12.20	Gaziantep - Kocaelispor	3:2

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