The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kasımpaşa 37.4%
Draw 29.1%
Samsunspor 33.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.5%
27.1%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.3%
27.2%
35.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
16.7%
50%
Kasımpaşa - Samsunspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gianniotis A. (G) 2. Winck C. (C) 4. Arous A. 27. Ilie M. 45. Karapo A. 16. Baldursson A. 26. Demirbay K. 17. Rak-Sakyi J. 51. Mendes E. 7. Kol A. 9. Benedyczak A.
1. Kocuk O. (G) 2. Mendes J. 22. Cift Y. E. 34. Guarino G. 17. Tomasson L. 19. Ohlenschlaeger O. 4. Watt E. 10. Coulibaly T. 20. Kayan Y. 11. Kilinc E. (C) 18. Bayo M.
Substitutes
18. Bayram O. 66. Boz E. 30. Dagbasi A. 11. Diarra T. 10. Hajradinovic H. 14. Mouanga K. 8. Mujde A. 19. Rafferty M. 50. Yalcin G. 25. Yanar A. (G)
23. Albak E. 25. Bayazit B. (G) 3. Drapinski I. 16. Erakovic S. 30. Jarju S. 8. Onur S. 42. Sekongo A. 77. Sousa A. 29. Tan M. 7. Tavsan E.
Coaches
Belozoglu E.
Bjelica N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Winck C. ⚽, Kol A. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Arous A. ⚽, Benedyczak A. (A),
45', 2 - 1, Coulibaly T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kilinc E. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
51', Belozoglu E. 🟨,
55', Sousa A. 🟨,
64', 3 - 1, Arous A. ⚽, Rak-Sakyi J. (A),
70', Cift Y. E. ↓, Erakovic S. ↑,
70', Ohlenschlaeger O. ↓, Sekongo A. ↑,
78', 4 - 1, Benedyczak A. ⚽, Demirbay K. (A),
79', Mendes E. 🟨,
82', Kol A. ↓, Diarra T. ↑,
82', Benedyczak A. ↓, Yalcin G. ↑,
83', Demirbay K. ↓, Hajradinovic H. ↑,
86', Karapo A. ↓, Mouanga K. ↑,
86', Rak-Sakyi J. ↓, Rafferty M. ↑,
86', Kayan Y. ↓, Tavsan E. ↑,
86', Coulibaly T. ↓, Jarju S. ↑,
89', Watt E. 🟨,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 10th and 17th in the Relegation - 1. Lig).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 2.
In recent outings, Kasımpaşa has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Samsunspor is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Kasımpaşa: Corekci K.
(Achilles Tendon Injury).
Confirmed absences for Samsunspor: Assoumou J.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Kasımpaşa: Karapo A.
(Injury)
Ouanes M.
(Muscle Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Samsunspor: Yuksel C.
(Injury).
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Kasımpaşa has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:9 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kasımpaşa against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:5 goals (averaging 0.7:1.7 per game).
Asia
Australia
Canada
France
Hong Kong
Indonesia
Laos
Malaysia
New Zealand
Philippines
Singapore
Thailand
Turkey
Usa
Watch
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Gianniotis A. (G) 
Winck C. (C) 
Arous A. 
Ilie M. 
Karapo A. 
Baldursson A. 
Demirbay K. 
Rak-Sakyi J. 
Mendes E. 
Benedyczak A. 
Mendes J. 
Guarino G. 
Ohlenschlaeger O. 
Watt E. 
Coulibaly T. 
Bayo M. 
Diarra T. 
Hajradinovic H. 
Mouanga K. 
Erakovic S. 
Jarju S. 
Sousa A. 
Tavsan E. 
Bjelica N. 
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