The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kasımpaşa 31.2%
Draw 30.4%
Samsunspor 38.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
27.5%
38.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35%
28.2%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
58.3%
25%
Kasımpaşa - Samsunspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DNB - Samsunspor (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH -0.25 - Samsunspor (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gianniotis A. (G) 22. Corekci K. 50. Rodrigo Becao 20. Opoku N. 21. Frimpong G. 16. Baldursson A. F. 34. Diabate F. 71. Kahveci I. C. 12. Ben Ouanes M. 11. Kol A. 77. Gueye P.
1. Kocuk O. (G) 18. Yavru Z. (C) 37. Satka L. 4. Van Drongelen R. 17. Tomasson L. 29. Makoumbou A. 10. Ntcham O. 7. Tavsan E. 21. Holse C. 47. Assoumou J. 19. Ndiaye C.
Substitutes
18. Allevinah J. 4. Arous A. 8. Cafu 7. Fall M. 17. Kanatsizkus K. 5. Mujde A. 33. Tasdemir E. 23. Tosun C. 6. Ustundag C. 25. Yanar A. (G)
24. Borevkovic T. 55. Cift Y. E. 15. Diabbate A. B. 71. Egribayat I. (G) 28. Gonul S. 9. Marius 2. Mendes J. 48. Toruz E. B. (G) 5. Yuksel C.
Coaches
Belozoglu E.
Reis T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Ndiaye C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Belozoglu E. 🟨,
63', Diabate F. ↓, Ustundag C. ↑,
63', Kol A. ↓, Allevinah J. ↑,
67', Ustundag C. 🟨,
74', Ndiaye C. ↓, Marius ↑,
74', Tavsan E. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
74', Ntcham O. ↓, Yuksel C. ↑,
76', Ben Ouanes M. ↓, Tosun C. ↑,
77', Corekci K. 🟨,
85', Gueye P. ↓, Kanatsizkus K. ↑,
85', Kahveci I. C. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 1, Assoumou J. ⚽, Makoumbou A. (A),
90+4', Assoumou J. ↓, Cift Y. E. ↑,
90+6', Holse C. ↓, Borevkovic T. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7).
Recent form of Kasımpaşa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Samsunspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Cafu
(Injury)
Demirbay K.
(Red Card)
Hajradinovic H.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Samsunspor: Cetin B.
(Knee Injury)
Coulibaly T.
(Knee Injury)
Kayan Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Kilinc E.
(Inactive)
Sousa A.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Rodrigo Becao
(Injury)
There are questionable in Samsunspor: Holse C.
(Inactive)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Kasımpaşa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Kasimpasa
7
2
4
1
8:8
0
10
16
Samsunspor
7
1
1
5
6:15
-9
4
Last Results with these Odds
Samsunspor - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 38.24%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.