Match Info

Super Lig - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2


	Kasımpaşa		Antalyaspor

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.7	Watch
	2.11	3.13	3.55	Watch
	2.15	3.33	3.49	Watch
	2.1	3	3.5
	2.11	3.31	3.92	Watch
	2.08	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.16)	3.16 ↓ (3.24)	3.65 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kasımpaşa
44.7%

Draw
29.7%

Antalyaspor
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

27.7%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Antalyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antalyaspor than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	7.7%	19.2%

Kasımpaşa - Antalyaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%). Antalyaspor will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasımpaşa: 56.1% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasımpaşa (votes: 2 - 50%). Antalyaspor (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Antalyaspor (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasımpaşa (votes: 2 - 40%). Antalyaspor (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gianniotis A. (G) 2. Winck C. (C) 20. Opoku N. 4. Arous A. 21. Frimpong G. 16. Baldursson A. F. 71. Kahveci I. C. 26. Demirbay K. 12. Ben Ouanes M. 34. Diabate F. 17. Kanatsizkus K.	1. Julian (G) 7. Balci B. 89. Sari V. (C) 4. Turkmen H. 3. Paal K. 23. Ceesay J. 6. Dikmen S. 10. Omur A. 88. Saric D. 26. Storm N. 22. van de Streek S.
Substitutes
22. Corekci K. 7. Fall M. 77. Gueye P. 11. Kol A. 5. Mujde A. 41. Szalai At. 33. Tasdemir E. 23. Tosun C. 6. Ustundag C. 25. Yanar A. (G)	11. Ballet S. 77. Boli Y. 30. Giannetti L. 20. Ilcin H. 2. Karakoc S. 5. Ozturk B. 8. Safuri R. 70. Sinik D. 27. Tivsiz E. B. 21. Yigiter A. (G)
Coaches
Belozoglu E.	Ugurlu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Baldursson A. F. 🟨,
23', Omur A. ↓, Ballet S. ↑,
38', Kahveci I. C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Ceesay J. 🟨,
59', Dikmen S. ↓, Safuri R. ↑,
59', Storm N. ↓, Karakoc S. ↑,
62', Baldursson A. F. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
62', Kahveci I. C. ↓, Kol A. ↑,
62', Kanatsizkus K. ↓, Ustundag C. ↑,
81', Diabate F. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
88', Ben Ouanes M. ↓, Tosun C. ↑,
89', Saric D. ↓, Boli Y. ↑,
90+3', Kol A. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 1.

In recent matches, Kasımpaşa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Antalyaspor has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kasımpaşa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kasımpaşa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Cafu (Injury) Hajradinovic H. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Antalyaspor: Yesilyurt E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Baldursson A. F. (Inactive) Barasi Y. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kasımpaşa won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.8:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Kasimpasa	7	2	4	1	8:8	0	10

Last Results with these Odds

Kasımpaşa - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.79%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
21.12.25	Galatasaray - Kasımpaşa	3:0 ✺
12.12.25	Kasımpaşa - Gençlerbirliği	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Kocaelispor - Kasımpaşa	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Kasımpaşa - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Alanyaspor - Kasımpaşa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTTLW
- Antalyaspor
Turkish Cup
14.01.26	Antalyaspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:1 ✺
23.12.25	Konyaspor - Antalyaspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
19.12.25	Kocaelispor - Antalyaspor	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Antalyaspor - Galatasaray	1:4 ✺
08.12.25	Alanyaspor - Antalyaspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
09.08.25	Antalyaspor - Kasımpaşa	2:1
22.02.25	Antalyaspor - Kasımpaşa	2:1
22.09.24	Kasımpaşa - Antalyaspor	0:0
12.05.24	Kasımpaşa - Antalyaspor	3:1
20.12.23	Antalyaspor - Kasımpaşa	0:0
06.03.23	Kasımpaşa - Antalyaspor	3:1
04.09.22	Antalyaspor - Kasımpaşa	0:2

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