Match Info

Super Lig - Round 3

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Gaziantep Stadyumu (Gaziantep)

Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Gaziantep		Çaykur Rizespor

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.15	Watch
	2.95	3.50	2.25
	3.08	3.34	2.19	Watch
	3.29	3.45	2.29
	3.13	3.5	2.24	Watch
	3.25	3.35	2.25
	3.19	3.5	2.32	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.48)	3.44 ↓ (3.53)	2.29 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gaziantep
30.9%

Draw
27.6%

Çaykur Rizespor
41.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.7%

26.5%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

25.9%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gaziantep has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gaziantep's form might have worsened.

Çaykur Rizespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Çaykur Rizespor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gaziantep, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Çaykur Rizespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Gaziantep - Çaykur Rizespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gaziantep will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Rizespor will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rizespor: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Tobiasz K. (G) 18. Sorescu D. 2. Perez L. 14. Abena M. 6. Meleke U. 96. Stefan F. 10. Kozlowski K. 8. Gidado V. 44. Maxim A. (C) 22. Hansen S. 97. Bavuk F.	75. Fofana Y. (G) 54. Pala M. 4. Mocsi A. 93. Sagnan M. 17. Ariss Z. 14. Antalyali T. (C) 23. Kutucu A. 20. Laci Q. 10. Olawoyin I. 99. Bulut E. 9. Sowe A.
Substitutes
81. Aslan C. (G) 23. Calhanoglu K. 11. Cihan M. 77. Destici S. 19. Dursun S. 4. Kizildag A. 27. Kulasin E. 83. Mujdeci M. 61. Ozcicek O.	21. Bakayoko S. 6. Diakite M. 79. Doicaru I. 19. Erdem U. 30. Gorgen Z. (G) 11. Mebude A. 7. Mihaila V. 37. Sahin T. 5. Sanuc T. T. 8. Varesanovic D.
Coaches
Radoi M.	Ucar R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Bulut E. ⚽, Pala M. (A),
35', 0 - 2, Sowe A. ⚽, Bulut E. (A),
40', Bavuk F. ↓, Dursun S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Mocsi A. 🟨,
64', Bulut E. ↓, Mihaila V. ↑,
65', Stefan F. ↓, Calhanoglu K. ↑,
65', Hansen S. ↓, Kulasin E. ↑,
71', Kulasin E. 🟨,
84', Olawoyin I. ↓, Varesanovic D. ↑,
84', Antalyali T. ↓, Diakite M. ↑,
89', Kutucu A. ↓, Sanuc T. T. ↑,
89', Sowe A. ↓, Doicaru I. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Ariss Z. (Own goal),
90+2', Varesanovic D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gaziantep won 1.

Gaziantep is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rizespor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Gaziantep has had a series of away games.

Recently, Rizespor has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Gaziantep: Bacuna J. (Red Card)

There will not play in Rizespor: Alikulov K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Rizespor: Diakite M. (Inactive) Mihaila V. (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gaziantep won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:35. (average 1.5:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gaziantep won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Rizespor	8	3	1	4	8:11	-3	10
14	Gaziantep	7	2	2	3	7:10	-3	8

Outrights of Turkish Super League for now

Rizespor: 0.32% Gaziantep: 0.32%

Last Results with these Odds

Gaziantep - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.73%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Çaykur Rizespor - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.75%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gaziantep FK
Turkish Super League
23.08.26	Eyüpspor - Gaziantep	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Gaziantep - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.26	IMT Novi Beograd - Gaziantep	0:3 ✺
28.07.26	OFK Beograd - Gaziantep	1:2 ✺
23.07.26	Voždovac - Gaziantep	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWWT
- Çaykur Rizespor
Turkish Super League
22.08.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Samsunspor	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Konyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Orijent	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Abha	0:0 ✺
28.07.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Hull City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
13.04.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Gaziantep	2:1
Turkish Cup
17.12.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Gaziantep	5:2
Turkish Super League
08.11.25	Gaziantep - Çaykur Rizespor	2:2
03.05.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Gaziantep	2:0
09.12.24	Gaziantep - Çaykur Rizespor	1:0
17.03.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Gaziantep	3:1
06.11.23	Gaziantep - Çaykur Rizespor	2:0

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