Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 32

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday


	Gedania Gdańsk		Pogoń Szczecin II

	1	X	2
	3.3	4.1	1.73
	3.75	4.3	1.66
	3.8	4.54	1.68
	3.65	4.79	1.65	Watch
	3.65	4.69	1.72	Watch
	3.75	4.3	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (2.92)	4.45 ↑ (3.84)	1.68 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gedania Gdańsk
25.1%

Draw
20.6%

Pogoń Szczecin II
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

23.7%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

23.6%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gedania Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gedania Gdańsk's form might have worsened.

Pogoń Szczecin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Szczecin II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gedania Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gedania Gdańsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin II than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Szczecin II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gedania Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin II Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin II (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90', 🟥,
90+1', 0 - 4, ⚽,
90+4', 0 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Gedania has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pogoń Szczecin II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pogoń Szczecin II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gedania has had a series of away games.

In this match, Pogoń Szczecin II is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gedania won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 1.4:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gedania won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gedania Gdańsk
Polish Division 3 - Group II
21.05.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Gedania Gdańsk	3:0 ✺
16.05.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Gedania Gdańsk	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Gedania Gdańsk	0:4 ✺
03.05.25	Gedania Gdańsk - Unia Swarzędz	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Sokół Kleczew - Gedania Gdańsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWLL
- Pogoń Szczecin II
Polish Division 3 - Group II
21.05.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Lech Poznań 2	1:1 ✺
15.05.25	Flota Świnoujście - Pogoń Szczecin II	0:3 ✺
09.05.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	6:1 ✺
01.05.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.10.24	Pogoń Szczecin II - Gedania Gdańsk	4:2
01.05.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:1
07.10.23	Pogoń Szczecin II - Gedania Gdańsk	5:2
21.05.23	Pogoń Szczecin II - Gedania Gdańsk	5:0
15.10.22	Gedania Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:1

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