Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 28

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Pogoń Szczecin II		Lech Poznań 2

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.4	2.22
	2.69	3.39	2.18
	2.75	3.57	2.22	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.2
	2.8	3.45	2.2	Watch
	3.53	3.68	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.53)	3.46 ↓ (3.68)	2.13 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Szczecin II
31.5%

Draw
26.1%

Lech Poznań 2
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

24.1%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

23.1%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Szczecin II's performance.

Lech Poznań 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lech Poznań 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin II than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogoń Szczecin II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lech Poznań 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pogoń Szczecin II - Lech Poznań 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Fraczczak A. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Prajsnar P. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Delikat K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 2 - 2, Bartkowiak M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin II won 1.

Pogoń Szczecin II is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lech 2 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pogoń Szczecin II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lech 2 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin II won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin II won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Lech Poznan II	9	4	3	2	17:15	2	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Szczecin II
Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.04.26	Lipno Stęszew - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:0 ✺
15.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin II - Luzino	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin II - Września	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Unia Swarzędz - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Pogoń Szczecin II - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLLW
- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.04.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Flota Świnoujście	3:1 ✺
15.04.26	Noteć Czarnków - Lech Poznań 2	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Wda Świecie - Lech Poznań 2	2:3 ✺
04.04.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.10.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:1
21.05.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Lech Poznań 2	1:1
26.10.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Szczecin II	4:2
01.05.19	Pogoń Szczecin II - Lech Poznań 2	3:2
29.09.18	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:0
14.04.18	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:2
09.09.17	Pogoń Szczecin II - Lech Poznań 2	1:4

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