Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 11

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Gavlevallen (Gävle)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Gefle		Hammarby TFF

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.90	1.58
	4.20	3.90	1.62	Watch
	4.90	4.10	1.63
	5.09	4.55	1.53	Watch
	4.80	3.70	1.55
	4.92	3.80	1.58	Watch
	3.82	3.83	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (3.55)	3.97 ↑ (3.78)	1.6 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gefle
19.9%

Draw
23%

Hammarby TFF
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

24.2%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

23.5%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gefle's form might have worsened.

Hammarby TFF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hammarby TFF's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gefle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby TFF than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hammarby TFF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gefle - Hammarby TFF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Croon M. (G) 4. Hansemon T. 5. Ismail D. (C) 8. Kouyate M. 23. Lundstrom N. 10. Mokede M. 16. Nehrman R. 15. Nezirevic A. 11. Vikgren L. 14. Yaldir D. 9. Zahirovic A.	1. Opancar E. (G) 25. Darboe M. 4. Eklund C. 23. Ek N. 11. Johansson A. 3. Lindahl J. 24. Loqvist W. 10. Marrah K. 7. Moczarny O. 26. Ponce D. 8. Tervonen W. (C)
Substitutes
13. Berggren M. 6. Edman I. 77. Hasanbegovic M. 22. Hedvall W. (G) 19. Javette C. 24. Persson K. 20. Sugita Y.	15. Gibson W. 13. Krasniqi L. 20. Lohake A. 6. Moses S. 28. Musa I. 35. Nyberg G. (G) 21. Oreland J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Marrah K. ⚽, Loqvist W. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Marrah K. ⚽, Ek N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Kouyate M. 🟨,
60', Kouyate M. ↓, Berggren M. ↑,
60', Mokede M. ↓, Persson K. ↑,
60', Lundstrom N. ↓, Hasanbegovic M. ↑,
64', Yaldir D. 🟨,
66', Nehrman R. 🟨,
75', Darboe M. ↓, Krasniqi L. ↑,
75', Ponce D. ↓, Gibson W. ↑,
86', 0 - 3, Moczarny O. ⚽,
86', Nehrman R. ↓, Edman I. ↑,
86', Tervonen W. ↓, Moses S. ↑,
89', Lindahl J. ↓, Lohake A. ↑,
90', Moczarny O. ↓, Musa I. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 4, Johansson A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Relegation (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gefle won 1.

Gefle has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hammarby TFF is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Gefle has had a series of away games.

In this match, Hammarby TFF is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gefle won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gefle won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Hammarby TFF	25	13	6	6	51:25	26	45
11	Gefle	25	9	3	13	29:43	-14	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
01.06.26	Arlanda - Gefle	2:3 ✺
23.05.26	Järfälla - Gefle	4:0 ✺
17.05.26	Gefle - Assyriska Föreningen	0:0 ✺
14.05.26	Vasalund - Gefle	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Umeå - Gefle	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLTLT
- Hammarby TFF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
30.05.26	Hammarby TFF - AFC Eskilstuna	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Enköping - Hammarby TFF	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Hammarby TFF - Stockholm Internazionale	3:1 ✺
13.05.26	Sollentuna - Hammarby TFF	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Hammarby TFF - Assyriska Föreningen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
26.10.25	Gefle - Hammarby TFF	2:4
29.03.25	Hammarby TFF - Gefle	2:0
01.10.22	Hammarby TFF - Gefle	3:3
02.04.22	Gefle - Hammarby TFF	1:0
09.10.21	Gefle - Hammarby TFF	2:2
09.05.21	Hammarby TFF - Gefle	1:3

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