Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 6

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Umea Energi Arena (Umea)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Umeå		Gefle

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.92	3.5	3.5	Watch
	1.89	3.99	3.45	Watch
	1.85	3.25	3.5
	1.87	3.56	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.99)	3.58 ↓ (3.63)	3.49 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
48.4%

Draw
25.5%

Gefle
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

25.3%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

24.3%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Umeå - Gefle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson P. (G) 4. Bangala D. 16. Bawa Z. 14. Cederblad E. 33. Essombe Mambingo J. 8. Godwin F. 9. Hadad R. 5. Hakansson N. 2. Linden N. 6. Lindmark S. (C) 11. Olawore E.	1. Croon M. (G) 4. Hansemon T. (C) 5. Ismail D. 19. Javette C. 10. Mokede M. 24. Persson K. 18. Spangberg M. 20. Sugita Y. 11. Vikgren L. 14. Yaldir D. 9. Zahirovic A.
Substitutes
26. Ekman D. 17. Forsman S. 20. Hassan H. 24. Johansson V. 22. Lindgren T. 35. Pihlblad L. (G) 27. Rhodin F.	6. Edman I. 77. Hasanbegovic M. 22. Hedvall W. (G) 16. Nehrman R. 15. Nezirevic A. 7. Ramadan M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Olawore E. ⚽,
17', Hakansson N. 🟨,
27', Javette C. 🟨,
28', Bangala D. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Hakansson N. (Own goal),
32', 2 - 1, Hadad R. ⚽,
45+3', Yaldir D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Javette C. ↓, Nezirevic A. ↑,
66', Bangala D. 🟨,
66', Cederblad E. ↓, Ekman D. ↑,
69', Mokede M. ↓, Hasanbegovic M. ↑,
69', Sugita Y. ↓, Nehrman R. ↑,
79', Yaldir D. ↓, Edman I. ↑,
81', Lindmark S. ↓, Lindgren T. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Hansemon T. ⚽,
85', Spangberg M. 🟨,
86', Hadad R. 🟨,
90', Hadad R. ↓, Forsman S. ↑,
90', Spangberg M. ↓, Ramadan M. ↑,
90+3', Nehrman R. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umeå won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Umeå could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Umeå won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Umeå won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Umea FC	25	9	5	11	34:41	-7	32
11	Gefle	25	9	3	13	29:43	-14	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 1 Norra
03.05.26	Umeå - Karlberg	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Umeå	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Vasalund - Umeå	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Umeå - Arlanda	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Hammarby TFF - Umeå	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLLW
- Gefle IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
02.05.26	Gefle - Enköping	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Karlberg - Gefle	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Gefle - Sollentuna	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Gefle - AFC Eskilstuna	4:3 ✺
03.04.26	FBK Karlstad - Gefle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
22.10.22	Gefle - Umeå	1:0
23.04.22	Umeå - Gefle	0:1
16.10.21	Umeå - Gefle	2:1
01.05.21	Gefle - Umeå	2:2
24.08.19	Gefle - Umeå	1:2
02.06.19	Umeå - Gefle	1:0

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