Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 10

Date: 1 June 2026, Monday

Location: Midgardsvallen (Märsta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Arlanda		Gefle

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.75	Watch
	1.88	3.69	3.95
	1.88	3.76	3.7	Watch
	1.83	3.3	3.5
	1.81	3.56	3.77	Watch
	1.64	3.66	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.85)	3.58 ↓ (3.6)	3.81 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arlanda
50.4%

Draw
25.6%

Gefle
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

25.4%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

24.6%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arlanda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arlanda than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Arlanda - Gefle Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arlanda will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smedberg Lagh A. (G) 16. Bergstedt O. 22. Butros M. 10. Charbachi A. 5. Elfstrom V. 20. Giordano Eriksson I. 27. Johansson E. 21. Kleist L. 7. Rehman S. 19. Rydz S. 8. Yemane Y. (C)	1. Croon M. (G) 4. Hansemon T. 5. Ismail D. (C) 8. Kouyate M. 23. Lundstrom N. 16. Nehrman R. 15. Nezirevic A. 20. Sugita Y. 11. Vikgren L. 14. Yaldir D. 9. Zahirovic A.
Substitutes
4. Ahmed M. 15. Antholm I. 18. Carlsson J. 24. Dibaga D. 30. Karo A. (G) 2. Norberg C. 9. Strangborn F.	13. Berggren M. 6. Edman I. 77. Hasanbegovic M. 22. Hedvall W. (G) 10. Mokede M. 24. Persson K. 7. Ramadan M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Giordano Eriksson I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
63', 1 - 0, Bergstedt O. ⚽,
66', Rehman S. ↓, Strangborn F. ↑,
66', Butros M. ↓, Antholm I. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Zahirovic A. ⚽,
69', Nehrman R. ↓, Mokede M. ↑,
69', Lundstrom N. ↓, Berggren M. ↑,
74', Kouyate M. 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, Zahirovic A. ⚽,
77', Charbachi A. ↓, Norberg C. ↑,
77', Sugita Y. ↓, Edman I. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Strangborn F. ⚽,
85', 2 - 3, Zahirovic A. ⚽, Yaldir D. (A),
86', Yemane Y. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
90+5', Rydz S. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Relegation (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gefle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Arlanda is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arlanda won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Arlanda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arlanda	25	14	6	5	46:28	18	48
11	Gefle	25	9	3	13	29:43	-14	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Arlanda
Swedish Division 1 Norra
23.05.26	FBK Karlstad - Arlanda	0:0 ✺
18.05.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Arlanda	0:0 ✺
13.05.26	Arlanda - Karlberg	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Arlanda - Sollentuna	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Piteå - Arlanda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTTTW
- Gefle IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
23.05.26	Järfälla - Gefle	4:0 ✺
17.05.26	Gefle - Assyriska Föreningen	0:0 ✺
14.05.26	Vasalund - Gefle	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Umeå - Gefle	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Gefle - Enköping	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
24.08.25	Arlanda - Gefle	2:0
02.06.25	Gefle - Arlanda	1:1

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