Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 21

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Gavlevallen (Gävle)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Gefle		Järfälla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	4.10	5.00
	1.58	3.85	4.35
	1.49	4.47	5.79
	1.63	4.1	4.69	Watch
	1.47	4.30	5.55
	1.53	4.48	5.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.81)	4.22 ↑ (3.73)	5.09 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gefle
60.1%

Draw
21.8%

Järfälla
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

24.4%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

22.7%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gefle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gefle's performance.

Järfälla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Järfälla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gefle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Järfälla than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Järfälla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gefle - Järfälla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Croon M. (G) 4. Hansemon T. 5. Ismail D. (C) 8. Kouyate M. 16. Nehrman R. 24. Persson K. 19. Sipic A. 18. Spangberg M. 11. Vikgren L. 14. Yaldir D. 9. Zahirovic A.	1. Eide B. (G) 4. Aksoy Y. 27. Bangala D. 23. Danha C. F. 17. Khalil A. 12. Markovski D. 8. Medhin T N. 24. Nisic K. 11. Ogestad O. 21. Rajamohan A. 6. Saweris P. (C)
Substitutes
13. Berggren M. 6. Edman I. 22. Hedvall W. (G) 23. Lundstrom N. 10. Mokede M. 20. Sugita Y. 77. Zulum S.	3. Akdemir N. 19. Dahir K. 26. Dibaga D. 20. Drugge E. 29. Hamidi A. 31. Leijonqvist E. (G) 9. Wurtz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Ogestad O. ⚽,
27', Markovski D. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Vikgren L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kouyate M. ↓, Mokede M. ↑,
47', Khalil A. 🟨,
65', Markovski D. ↓, Akdemir N. ↑,
65', Ogestad O. ↓, Dibaga D. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Persson K. ⚽, Vikgren L. (A),
71', Sipic A. ↓, Berggren M. ↑,
71', Akdemir N. 🟨,
74', Khalil A. ↓, Dahir K. ↑,
83', Spangberg M. ↓, Sugita Y. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Vikgren L. ⚽, Berggren M. (A),
88', Vikgren L. ↓, Lundstrom N. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Gefle has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Järfälla is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Gefle is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gefle won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Gefle	25	9	3	13	29:43	-14	30
15	Jarfalla	25	5	4	16	33:55	-22	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
05.09.26	Sollentuna - Gefle	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Gefle - Karlstad	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Gefle	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Gefle - Umeå	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Stocksund - Gefle	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTWWL
- FC Järfälla
Swedish Division 1 Norra
05.09.26	Järfälla - FBK Karlstad	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Järfälla - Assyriska Föreningen	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Järfälla	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Sollentuna - Järfälla	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Järfälla - Karlstad	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
23.05.26	Järfälla - Gefle	4:0

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