Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Gela		Athletic Palermo

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.10	2.30
	2.75	3.15	2.28
	2.79	3.32	2.31	Watch
	2.7	3.15	2.25
	2.87	3.69	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 (2.77)	3.28 ↓ (3.42)	2.29 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gela
32.7%

Draw
27.7%

Athletic Palermo
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The chances for Athletic Palermo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Gela - Athletic Palermo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 14th in the Serie D - Group I (Play Out: ) and 8th).

Performances by Athletic Palermo have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Athletic Palermo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Gela has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gela against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Athletic Palermo	6	2	2	2	9:8	1	8
15	Gela	6	1	2	3	4:6	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Città di Gela
Italian Serie D - Group I
27.09.26	Digiesse PraiaTortora - Gela	1:0 ✺
16.09.26	Siracusa - Gela	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Sambiase - Gela	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Gela - Vibonese	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Castrumfavara - Gela	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- Athletic Palermo
Italian Serie D - Group I
27.09.26	Athletic Palermo - Milazzo	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Vibonese - Athletic Palermo	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Athletic Palermo - Digiesse PraiaTortora	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Athletic Palermo - Enna	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Siracusa - Athletic Palermo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
22.02.26	Athletic Palermo - Gela	1:1
19.10.25	Gela - Athletic Palermo	0:1

Gela - Athletic Palermo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide