Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 33

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Gela		Vibonese

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.1	2.3
	2.79	3.15	2.4	Watch
	2.84	3.05	2.37
	2.73	3.07	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.95)	3.09 ↑ (3)	2.37 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gela
32.4%

Draw
29.3%

Vibonese
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

29.6%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

28.4%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Vibonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gela than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vibonese than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Gela - Vibonese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 1 - 0, ⚽,
75', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).

Gela is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vibonese's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gela won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Gela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Vibonese	6	4	1	1	15:5	10	13
15	Gela	6	1	2	3	4:6	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Città di Gela
Italian Serie D - Group I
19.04.26	Castrumfavara - Gela	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Gela - Reggina	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	Nissa - Gela	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Gela - Paternò	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Sambiase - Gela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLWL
- Vibonese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
22.04.26	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Vibonese	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Vibonese - Sancataldese	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Vigor Lamezia - Vibonese	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Vibonese - ACR Messina	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Ragusa - Vibonese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
14.12.25	Vibonese - Gela	1:2
21.01.18	Vibonese - Gela	1:0
22.11.17	Gela - Vibonese	1:1

Gela - Vibonese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide